The Los Angeles Angels (59-60) visit the New York Yankees (65-52) in a Monday makeup game from a July 1 rain-out. The contest at Yankee Stadium is slated for a 7:05 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze the lines around the Angels vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Jose Suarez is the projected starting pitcher for the Angels. In 15 games. (6 starts), Suarez is 5-5 with a 3.90 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 8.0 K/9, and 3.3 BB/9 in 55 1/3 IP.
- Owns a fine 2.97 ERA, 1.02 WHIP in road games.
- Has benefited from a .268 batting average on balls in play.
- Clocked a 2.29 ERA in the first half; owns a 6.75 mark since the All-Star break.
RHP Gerrit Cole is the projected starter for the Yankees. He is 10-6 with a 3.11 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 12.2 K/9, and 1.9 BB/9 in 130 1/3 IP over 21 starts.
- Is coming off the COVID-19 list for this start; hasn’t pitched since July 29.
- Notched a 2.09 ERA at Yankee Stadium last season; owns 2.70 ERA at home in 2021.
Angels at Yankees odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:50 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Angels +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Yankees -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Angels +1.5 (-105) | Yankees -1.5 (-120)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
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Prediction
Yankees 6, Angels 3
Money line (ML)
The Yanks took two of three in a hard-fought series against the Chicago White Sox over the weekend and are 19-9 since the All-Star break.
The Halos are coming off a series loss to the Houston Astros; they are just 3-6 over their last 9 games. The L.A. offense has sputtered over that stretch logging a mere .600 OPS.
With New York’s recent trend lines and the Angels flying across the continental 48 for this one-gamer, the lean here is on the Yankees despite the big price and the Gerrit Cole layoff. But better pricing for the risk can be found on the run line. PASS.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
New York plays in a ton of close games. Bullpen injuries and issues play into that risk even when the Yankees build a 4- or 5-run lead by the middle innings. But that risk is rewarded with the YANKEES -1.5 (-120) tag.
After struggling at home earlier this season, New York has posted a .781 OPS over its last two home stands. And there is some systemic strength-of-schedule lean toward the AL East: the Yanks are 10-6 over 16 games against the weaker AL West.
When opening a road trip, the Angels are 1-4 with a minus-15 run differential over their last 5.
Over/Under (O/U)
With some fade of both starters and a nod to New York’s offensive capabilities, there is value in the OVER 8.5 (-115). Plus both clubs have some schedule-induced reasoning behind lose-the-battle-win-the-war-type bullpen management if things get sideways.
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