The Seattle Mariners (56-50) continue their 10-game road trip with the first game of a three-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays (64-42) Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET at Tropicana Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Mariners vs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Mariners RHP Chris Flexen (9-5, 3.81 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 through 108 2/3 IP.
- Flexen allowed 7 runs on 9 hits in only 4 innings in an 8-6 loss to the Houston Astros Tuesday his last time out.
- The Mariners are 13-6 this season when he starts.
Rays RHP Michael Wacha (2-2, 4.79 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 71 1/3 IP.
- Wacha lasted 3 2/3 innings and allowed 5 runs on 11 hits in a 5-1 loss at the Mariners June 18.
- He has pitched more than 5 innings only three times this season.
Mariners at Rays odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:20 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Mariners +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Rays -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Mariners +1.5 (-140) | Rays -1.5 (+100)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -135 | U: -105)
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Prediction
Rays 6, Mariners 5
Money line (ML)
The Mariners swept the Rays in a four-game series in Seattle in June; however, they are 23-27 on the road this season. They have lost two of the first three games of their current road trip and Flexen has lost his last two starts.
The Rays are 34-20 at home and have won four straight games. They’ve won nine of their last 12 games and are 36-29 against teams at or above .500.
Take the RAYS (-190).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Mariners are 59-47 ATS overall and 28-22 ATS on the road. They are 1-4 ATS in their last five games and failed to cover the spread in their last two games. They have not gone more than two games without covering the spread since failing to do so in six straight May 17-23.
The Rays are also 59-47 ATS overall but are 27-27 ATS at home. They are 3-1 ATS in their last four games but are 0-4 ATS against Seattle.
Take the MARINERS +1.5 (-140).
Over/Under (O/U)
Tropicana Field’s Over percentage this season is 49.1%.
Five of the Mariners’ last six games, and 11 of their last 12 road games, finished with 9 or more runs.
Three of the last four, and eight of the last 12, games for the Rays had totals of 9 or more runs.
Two of the four games so far in the season series had 9 or more runs.
Take OVER 8.5 (-135).
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