The Los Angeles Dodgers (62-43) try to even the series against the Arizona Diamondbacks (33-71) Saturday after dropping Friday’s opener, 6-5, in extra innings. First pitch is at 8:10 p.m. at Chase Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.
The Dodgers have not announced their starter as of publication. It was originally going to be RHP Josiah Gray, whom they traded to the Washington Nationals to acquire Max Scherzer.
This season, the Dodger bullpen is 20-23 with a 3.66 ERA over 366 2/3 innings pitched. The collective staff out of the ‘pen has a 1.29 WHIP, 9.7 K/9 and 4.1 BB/9
RHP Merrill Kelly is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 7-7 with a 4.39 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 and 2.0 BB/9 in 123 IP over 21 starts.
Kelly has won five straight decisions and the Diamondbacks are 6-1 in his last seven starts, the one loss coming on the road July 11 to the Dodgers. He has a 2.62 ERA through 44 2/3 IP across that seven-game span.
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Dodgers at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 4:27 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Dodgers -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
- Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (-115) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-105)
- Over/Under: 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Diamondbacks 7, Dodgers 4
Money line (ML)
The Dodgers have lost three of the first four games of their current road trip and are 4-8 in their last 12 games. They are 9-2 against the Diamondbacks this season and 2-0 when Kelly starts against them.
Kelly has been an ace over his last seven starts. The D-Backs have been playing better, too, winning seven of their last 10 games. They have a five-game winning streak at Chase Field right now.
Take the DIAMONDBACKS (+145).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Dodgers have covered the spread just once in their last nine games. They are 49-56 ATS overall and 24-30 ATS on the road.
The Diamondbacks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games and 28-22 ATS at home this season. They are 5-2 ATS in Kelly’s last seven starts.
Take the DIAMONDBACKS +1.5 (-105).
Over/Under (O/U)
Chase Field has the third-highest Over percentage in the majors this season at 61.2%.
However, only one of the Dodgers’ last six games has had a total of more than 9 runs.
Half the Diamondbacks’ last 12 games have had totals of 10 or more runs. The last three starts for Kelly, and seven of his last 10, have finished with totals of 10 or more runs.
Take OVER 10 (-105).
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