Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (51-49) and Chicago Cubs (50-51) square off in the second game of their series at Wrigley Field Tuesday night, with the first pitch coming at 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Cubs odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Vladimir Gutierrez is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds. He is 4-3 with a 4.97 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 6.1 K/9 and 4.1 BB/9 in 54 1/3 IP over 10 starts.

Gutierrez struggled in his last outing, allowing six runs on nine hits in only four innings against the Mets. He pitched well in his previous two starts, though, allowing only three runs in 12 innings. In his only career appearance against the Cubs, he pitched five innings and allowed one run in a loss back on May 28.

RHP Adbert Alzolay is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs. He is 4-10 with a 4.58 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 in 88 1/3 IP over 17 starts.

Alzolay has allowed four earned runs or fewer in each start this season, but he’s gone more than five innings only seven times in 17 starts. He limited the Cardinals to three runs in six innings last time out, striking out a season-high eight batters. He is 1-1 against the Reds this season, allowing three runs in 12 2/3 innings with 12 strikeouts.

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Reds at Cubs odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:49 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Reds +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Cubs -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Reds +1.5 (-130) | Cubs -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: 10 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Reds 5, Cubs 4

Money line (ML)

The Reds were stunned in the ninth inning last night as SS Javy Baez hit a pinch-hit walk-off single to put the Cubs in the win column, 6-5. Cincinnati had won four in a row against the Cubs prior to this loss, but it will bounce back tonight.

Gutierrez should pitch better than he did against the Mets last week, which gives the Reds a good chance to win. Bet the REDS (+145) to win outright on the road.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Cincinnati is only 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games, four games worse than the Cubs (6-4 ATS) in that same span. But with a powerful offense and a solid rookie starter on the mound, this is a game they should be able to keep within one run.

Bet the REDS +1.5 (-130) to cover against the Cubs.

Over/Under (O/U)

The total has gone Under in five of the Reds’ last six road games and four of the Cubs’ last six overall. The matchups between these two this season have been on the lower-scoring side, too.

While Alzolay won’t go deep into the game, he should limit the Reds to no more than four runs, which will put this one on the bullpen. I think the total goes UNDER 10 (-110) tonight.

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