The Tampa Bay Rays (57-39) and Cleveland Indians (48-45) play the opener of a four-game set Thursday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Indians odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Luis Patino is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays. He is 1-2 with a 4.87 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 10.6 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 across 20 1/3 innings, spanning 4 starts and 2 relief appearances.
Patino was hammered for seven runs (five earned) and seven hits with a walk and five strikeouts across 5 1/3 innings in a loss to the Toronto Blue Jays in Buffalo, N.Y., in his most recent showing July 2.
RHP Cal Quantrill is the projected starting pitcher for the Indians. He is 2-2 with a 4.05 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 6.5 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 across 66 2/3 innings, spanning 9 starts and 18 relief appearances.
Quantrill has won consecutive starts, including a win at the Oakland A’s Saturday. He allowed just one run, four hits and two walks with five strikeouts to level his record at 2-2.
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Rays at Indians odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 4:34 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Rays -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Indians +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
- Against the spread/ATS: Rays -1.5 (+105) | Indians +1.5 (-130)
- Over/Under: 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Prediction
Indians 5, Rays 3
Money line (ML)
The INDIANS (+120) are a good play as short ‘dogs at home. Cleveland is looking for revenge after getting swept in a three-game set by the Rays in St. Petersburg, Fla., July 5-7.
Still, Quantrill is currently cruising along, and the Indians are coming off a three-game sweep last time they were home, beating the Kansas City Royals July 8-10.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
INDIANS +1.5 (-130) aren’t terribly expensive if you’re not feeling Cleveland straight up and want a little insurance. While I like Quantrill and the Tribe on the money line and I don’t trust Patino for the visitors, this isn’t a bad wager.
Over/Under (O/U)
UNDER 9 (+100) is a strong play in this contest. The Under is 4-1 in Tampa Bay’s past five as a favorite, and the Under cashed the last time these teams met in St. Pete, a 4-0 win by the Rays July 7.
The Under is also 2-1 across Quantrill’s past three outings.
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