NBA Finals action continues Saturday, as we focus on the Phoenix Suns and Chris Paul’s prop bets and lines. The point total set for Paul in Saturday’s game against the Milwaukee Bucks is 21.5.
So far this season, Paul has recorded an average of 16.9 points and 8.8 assists every game, while over his last five performances, he’s averaging 25 points and 8.2 assists. He’s shooting 49.6% from the field this season and 56.7% in his last five games.
Game 5 of the NBA Finals between the Suns and Bucks begins at 9:00 PM ET on Saturday. Oddsmakers have installed the Suns as 4-point favorites, while the over/under is set at 217.5 points. Let’s dig into some insights and stats to figure out how Paul will perform in this matchup, especially as it pertains to his betting markets.
Chris Paul prop bets breakdown
- Points Over/Under: 21.5
- Over Odds: -105
- Under Odds: -125
- Points per game: 16.9
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list.
Lines last updated at 10:35 PM EST on July 15, 2021.
Chris Paul points insights
- The 16.9 points Paul has scored per game this season is 4.6 fewer points than his point total set for Saturday (21.5).
- In 23.9% of his games this season (21 of 88 matchups) Paul has scored more than 21.5 points.
- Paul’s season-long scoring average, 16.9 points per game, is 0.7 points higher than his average points prop bet total.
- In less than half of his opportunities — 29 of 62 this year (46.8%) — Paul has hit the over on his point total.
- 52.3% of Paul’s outings this year have seen him go under his season-long average points prop total of 16.2 points (46 out of 88 games).
- The Bucks’ opponents are racking up 108.6 points per game, which is the 23rd-most given up by an NBA squad this season.
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Chris Paul rebound insights
- Paul has averaged 0.2 less rebounds per game (4.3) than his prop bet total in Saturday’s game (4.5).
- In 38.6% of his games this year (34 of 88), Paul has pulled down more than 4.5 boards.
- Paul has collected 0.3 fewer rebounds (4.3 per game) than his season average prop bet (4.6).
- Only 37.1% of the time this season (23 of 62 opportunities), Paul has hit the over on his rebounds prop bet total.
- In only 38.6% of his games (34 of 88 contests), Paul has gone over his average rebounds prop bet total (4.6).
- Opponents of the Bucks have pulled down 45.8 rebounds per game this season, the 10th-most against any NBA team.
Chris Paul assists insights
- Paul’s season-long assist average — 8.8 per game — is 0.3 assists higher than Saturday’s assist over/under (8.5).
- In 53.4% of his matchups this season (47 out of 88) Paul has had more than 8.5 assists.
- Paul’s per-game assist average (8.8) is 0.4 more than his average assist prop bet total (8.4).
- Paul has gone over his average assist prop bet total (8.4) in 47 of his 88 contests (53.4%).
- The Bucks’ opponents are averaging 24.2 assists per game, which is the 20th-most allowed by an NBA squad this season.
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