Saturday’s NBA Playoffs slate features plenty of betting action, including the Milwaukee Bucks’ Pat Connaughton prop bets. Let’s take a look at the markets and lines for Connaughton in this Finals matchup. The points over/under set for Connaughton in Saturday’s game against the Phoenix Suns is 8.5.
So far this season, Connaughton has recorded an average of 6.8 points every night, while over his last five performances, he’s averaging 10.8 points and 5.8 rebounds. He’s shooting 44.2% from the floor this season and 52.6% in his last five games.
Game 5 of the NBA Finals between the Bucks and Suns begins at 9:00 PM ET on Saturday. Bookmakers have installed the Suns as 4-point favorites, while the over/under is set at 217.5 points. Let’s take a look at how Connaughton has fared this season and in recent outings to provide insights into his betting lines for this matchup.
Pat Connaughton prop bets breakdown
- Points Over/Under: 8.5
- Over Odds: 105
- Under Odds: -139
- Points per game: 6.8
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list.
Lines last updated at 4:33 PM EST on July 15, 2021.
Pat Connaughton points insights
- The 6.8 points Connaughton has scored per game this season is 1.7 fewer points than his point total set for Saturday (8.5).
- Connaughton has put up more than 8.5 points in 31 of 90 games this season (34.4%).
- Connaughton’s season-long average points prop bet over/under, 6.4 points, is 0.4 fewer points than his per-game scoring average.
- In less than half of his opportunities — nine of 19 this year (47.4%) — Connaughton has gone over his point total.
- In less than half of his contests — 43 of 90 this year (47.8%) — Connaughton has hit the over on his season average points prop bet total (6.4).
- Teams are scoring 113.4 points per game against the Suns this season, the 11th-most given up by a team.
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Pat Connaughton rebound insights
- Connaughton has pulled down 4.7 rebounds per game, 0.2 more boards than his prop bet for Saturday’s game (4.5).
- In 48.9% of his games this year (44 out of 90), Connaughton has pulled down more than 4.5 boards.
- The average prop bet over/under Connaughton has had set for rebounds this season is 4.1. He usually has outperformed that number as he has pulled down 4.7 rebounds per game, 0.6 more boards than his average prop.
- 52.6% of the time this year (10 out of 19 opportunities), Connaughton has outpaced his rebounds prop bet total.
- Connaughton has surpassed his average rebounds prop bet total (4.1 boards) in just 48.9% of his matchups (44 of 90 games).
- Opponents of the Suns have collected 43.3 rebounds per game this season, the 24th-most against any NBA squad.
Pat Connaughton assists insights
- Connaughton has averaged 1.1 assists per game, 0.6 more than Saturday’s assist over/under (0.5).
- Connaughton has dished out more than 0.5 assists in 60 out of 90 games this season (66.7%).
- Connaughton’s per-game assist average (1.1) is 0.1 less than his average assist prop bet total (1.2).
- Connaughton has gone over his average assist prop total (1.2) in just 27 of his 90 games (30%).
- Teams are dishing out 23.6 assists per game against the Suns this season, the 23rd-most given up by a squad.
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