NBA finals prop bets: Milwaukee Bucks PJ Tucker props for 7/17/2021

The NBA Finals continue Saturday for the Milwaukee Bucks, so let’s take a look at PJ Tucker’s prop bets and lines. Tucker has an over/under of 4.5 points in his game against the Phoenix Suns on Saturday. Over his last five outings, Tucker has …

The NBA Finals continue Saturday for the Milwaukee Bucks, so let’s take a look at PJ Tucker’s prop bets and lines. Tucker has an over/under of 4.5 points in his game against the Phoenix Suns on Saturday.

Over his last five outings, Tucker has averaged 5.2 points, compared to his season average of 3.9 points per game. He’s shooting 37.9% from the field this year (40.7% in just his last five games).

The Suns are being picked to win in Game 5 of the NBA Finals by sportsbooks, who list them as 4-point favorites, while the over/under is set at 217.5 points. The teams will hit the court on Saturday starting at 9:00 PM ET. Let’s dig into some insights and stats to figure out how Tucker will perform in this matchup, especially as it pertains to his betting markets.

PJ Tucker prop bets breakdown

  • Points Over/Under: 4.5
  • Over Odds: -128
  • Under Odds: 100
  • Points per game: 3.9

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list.

Lines last updated at 4:33 PM EST on July 15, 2021.

PJ Tucker points insights

  • The 3.9 points Tucker has scored per game this season is 0.6 fewer points than his points prop bet over/under set for Saturday (4.5).
  • Tucker has scored more than 4.5 points 28 times this season (out of 73 total games — 38.4%).
  • Tucker’s season-long average points prop bet total is 2.0 points higher than his per-game scoring average (3.9 points).
  • 64% of Tucker’s matchups this year have seen him fall short of his point prop total (16 out of 25 chances).
  • In less than half of his games — 21 of 73 this year (28.8%) — Tucker has gone over his season average points prop bet total (5.9).
  • The Suns’ opponents are scoring 113.4 points per game, which is the 11th-most allowed by an NBA team this season.

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PJ Tucker rebound insights

  • Tucker has averaged 0.3 fewer rebounds per game (4.2) than his prop bet total in Saturday’s game (4.5).
  • In 41.1% of his games this season (30 of 73), Tucker has gone over his prop bet total for his next matchup (4.5 boards).
  • Tucker has collected 1.2 fewer rebounds (4.2 per game) than his season average prop bet (5.4).
  • Just 36% of the time this season (nine out of 25 opportunities), Tucker has surpassed his rebounds prop bet total.
  • In only 28.8% of his games (21 of 73 contests), Tucker has surpassed his average rebounds prop bet total (5.4).
  • The Suns’ opponents are collecting 43.3 rebounds per game, which is the 24th-most allowed by an NBA team this season.

PJ Tucker assists insights

  • Tucker has averaged 1.2 assists per game, 0.3 fewer than Saturday’s assist over/under (1.5).
  • In 32.9% of his matchups this season (24 out of 73) Tucker has dished out more than 1.5 assists.
  • Tucker has averaged 1.2 assists per game, 0.3 fewer per game than his average assist prop bet over/under of 1.5.
  • In just 32.9% of Tucker’s contests (24 out of 73) he’s recorded more than 1.5 assists (his average assist prop over/under this season).
  • Teams are averaging 23.6 assists per game against the Suns this season, the 23rd-most allowed by a squad.

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