The British Open will be played this week for the first time since 2019. It will be the final major of 2021 and the last of the six comprising the 2020-21 PGA Tour season Below, we search for value in the odds and highlight five sleeper and long-shot picks for the 2021 British Open; check out all our PGA Tour picks and predictions.
Jon Rahm, No. 1 in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings, is this week’s prohibitive betting favorite at +750 as he tries to go back-to-back after winning the US Open. Five others have odds lower than +2000.
We’ll look for value outside of 100-1 as the world’s best take to Royal St. George’s Golf Club in Sandwich, Kent, England, for the first time since the 2011 Open Championship. The venue measures 7,211 yards and plays to a par of 70.
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2021 British Open long-shot picks
Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 9:32 a.m. ET.
Brian Harman (+10000)
Bet $100 to win $10,000
Harman, 34, has two career PGA Tour wins to his name, but he has been playing some of the best golf of his career in 2021. He’s 13th in the Golfweek world rankings with five top-10 finishes through 15 events. Still, he shares just the 44th best odds to win this week as a major value play.
He tied for 12th at the Masters and for 19th at the US Open. While he missed the cut in each of his last four appearances at the British Open, he tied for 26th in 2014. He’s sixth on the PGA Tour in scrambling and tied for 21st in par 4 efficiency from the key distance of 400-450 yards.
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Matt Wallace (+12500)
Bet $100 to win $12,500
Wallace, once ranked as high as No. 23 in the Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR), posted a top finish this year of third at the Valero Texas Open the week ahead of the Masters. He has two other top-10 finishes through 15 international stroke-play events and is coming off a respectable T-26 finish at the abrdn Scottish Open.
The 31-year-old Englishman has just two appearances at The Open but four career wins on the European Tour. He’s averaging 0.72 Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green and 0.35 SG: Approach per round, and that iron play will be well-suited to Royal St. George’s rolling fairways.
Victor Perez (+15000)
Bet $100 to win $15,000
Perez enters the week at No. 111 in the Golfweek rankings but 42nd by the OWGR. He missed the cut in all three majors this year in North America, but he has three international top-10 finishes in 2021, including The Players Championship.
His lone European Tour win to date was at the 2019 Alfred Dunhill Links Championship. He can draw on that experience at Royal St. George’s.
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Matt Kuchar (+15000)
Bet $100 to win $15,000
Despite slipping from 37th to 65th in the OWGR since the end of 2020, Kuchar enters in quality British Open form. He’s sixth for the season in par 4 efficiency: 400-450 yards and eighth in sand save percentage.
Stewart Cink (+15000)
Bet $100 to win $15,000
Cink won the 2009 British Open and snapped a lengthy winless drought with two wins this season at the Safeway Open and RBC Heritage. He also made the cut in each of the previous two runnings of the British Open at Royal St. George’s, with a T-34 finish in 2003 and a T-30 in 2011.
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