NBA finals prop bets: Milwaukee Bucks Brook Lopez props for 7/11/2021

The NBA Finals continue Sunday for the Milwaukee Bucks, so let’s take a look at Brook Lopez’s prop bets and lines. Lopez has an over/under of 11.5 points in his game against the Phoenix Suns on Sunday. Over his last five games, Lopez has finished …

The NBA Finals continue Sunday for the Milwaukee Bucks, so let’s take a look at Brook Lopez’s prop bets and lines. Lopez has an over/under of 11.5 points in his game against the Phoenix Suns on Sunday.

Over his last five games, Lopez has finished with an average of 15.6 points, 6.6 rebounds and 2.2 blocks per contest. On the season, he’s averaged 12.5 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.5 blocks while shooting 51.5% from the floor.

The Bucks are being picked to win the contest by sportsbooks, who list them as 4-point favorites, while the over/under is set at 221.5 points. The teams will meet on Sunday in Game 3 of the NBA Finals, starting at 8:00 PM ET. How will Lopez fare relative to his betting lines? Let’s break down his performances and dig into some insights to find out.

Brook Lopez prop bets breakdown

  • Points Over/Under: 11.5
  • Over Odds: -120
  • Under Odds: -110
  • Points per game: 12.5

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list.

Lines last updated at 10:35 PM EST on July 9, 2021.

Brook Lopez points insights

  • The 12.5 points Lopez has scored per game this season is 1.0 more point than his points prop bet over/under set for Sunday (11.5).
  • Lopez has put up more than 11.5 points 46 times this season (out of 89 total games — 51.7%).
  • Lopez’s season-long average points prop bet total is 0.6 points less than his per-game scoring average (12.5 points).
  • In less than half of his chances — 32 of 65 this year (49.2%) — Lopez has gone over his point total.
  • 51.7% of Lopez’s matchups this year have seen him go over his season-long average points prop total of 11.9 points (46 out of 89 games).
  • The Suns’ opponents are averaging 113.4 points per game, which is the 11th-most given up by an NBA squad this season.

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Brook Lopez rebound insights

  • Lopez has averaged 0.3 less rebounds per game (5.2) than his prop bet total in Sunday’s game (5.5).
  • In 42.7% of his games this year (38 out of 89), Lopez has gone over his prop bet total for his next matchup (5.5 boards).
  • Lopez has grabbed 0.2 more rebounds (5.2 per game) than his season average prop bet (five).
  • In just 26 of his 65 opportunities (40%), Lopez has gone over his rebounds prop bet total.
  • The Suns’ opponents are pulling down 43.3 rebounds per game, which is the 24th-most given up by an NBA squad this season.

Brook Lopez assists insights

  • Lopez has averaged 0.6 assists per game this year, 0.1 assists more than his prop bet for the matchup on Sunday (0.5).
  • Lopez has dished out more than 0.5 assists in 37 out of 89 games this season (41.6%).
  • Lopez has averaged 0.6 assists per game, 0.1 more per game than his average assist prop bet total of 0.5.
  • In only 41.6% of Lopez’s games (37 out of 89) he’s recorded more than 0.5 assists (his average assist prop bet over/under this season).
  • Opponents of the Suns have averaged 23.6 assists per game this season, the 23rd-most against any NBA squad.

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