The Chicago White Sox (51-35) and Baltimore Orioles (28-58) open a three-game series Friday with a 7:05 p.m. ET first pitch at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Dallas Keuchel is the projected starting pitcher for the White Sox. He is 6-3 with a 4.48 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 5.5 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 in 90 1/3 IP over 16 starts and one bullpen appearance.
Keuchel faced Baltimore in May and allowed 4 ER on 8 H and 1 BB while striking out 2 over 5 IP. He had his worst start of the year last time out, allowing 7 ER in 4 IP against Detroit, and has an ugly 9/8 K/BB in his last three starts.
RHP Jorge Lopez is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles. He is 2-11 with a 6.02 ERA, 1.60 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 and 4.1 BB/9 in 80 2/3 IP over 17 starts.
Lopez has taken the loss in five straight starts, failing to make it through 5 IP in all but one of those outings. He has been a little unlucky as he has a .339 BABIP against him and 20.6% HR/FB but doesn’t help himself with all the walks he allows.
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White Sox at Orioles odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:25 a.m. ET.
- Money line: White Sox -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Orioles +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Against the spread/ATS: White Sox -1.5 (+100) | Orioles +1.5 (-120)
- Over/Under: 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
White Sox 7, Orioles 5
Money line (ML)
The Orioles are 13-42 in their last 55 games and are 4-13 in games started by Lopez this season. The White Sox are 4th in the league in runs per game on the road and are facing a pitcher that has an ERA over 6.00 for the third straight season. Take the WHITE SOX (-155).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Orioles have already lost 27 games at home this season and just five of them have been by a single run. Their bats won’t stay quiet against Keuchel, as his 14.1% K% is lowest among all qualified pitchers, and Baltimore is 4th in wRC+ vs lefties.
However, the Chicago offense is averaging 6.8 runs per game in their last 10 and they are in a prime spot against Lopez. Expect another big day and back the WHITE SOX -1.5 (+100).
Over/Under (O/U)
The over is 8-2 in the last 10 games for Chicago and 13-3 in Baltimore’s last 16 contests against a left-handed starter. These trends should continue as there should be plenty of offense on both sides. OVER 10 (-105) is the side to take in this one.
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