The Boston Red Sox (52-32) face the Oakland Athletics (49-36) for the final and deciding game of their three-game series Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07 ET at Oakland Coliseum. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Athletics odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Nick Pivetta is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox. He is 6-3 with a 4.43 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 10.4 K/9 and 4.2 BB/9 in 85 1/3 IP over 16 starts.
Boston is 11-5 with Pivetta on the mound but he is coming off his worst start of the season. He allowed 6 runs on 9 hits and 2 walks in 4 1/3 innings in Boston’s 7-6 win Tuesday against Kansas City.
RHP James Kaprielian is the projected starting pitcher for the Athletics. He is 4-2 with a 3.06 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 and 3.4 BB/9 in 50 IP over nine starts.
He faced Boston May 12 in his first start of the season, picking up the win in a 4-1 victory while allowing only 1 run on 4 hits and 3 walks in 5 innings. Kaprielian has a 1.42 ERA across 19 IP in three starts at home this year.
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Red Sox at Athletics odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:02 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Red Sox -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Athletics -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Red Sox -1.5 (+150) | Athletics +1.5 (-185)
- Over/Under: 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Red Sox 4, Athletics 3
Money line (ML)
Before the Athletics took them down on Saturday the Red Sox had won eight games in a row. Boston’s 25 road wins are tied for the most in baseball; however, it had lost five of its last eight road games.
The A’s are 27-21 at home but are 2-3 during this homestand and have only won five of their last 14 games. They have not won consecutive games since winning seven in a row from June 11-18.
Take the RED SOX (-105).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Red Sox are the league’s second-best team against the spread having covered in 57.1% of their games. They have covered the spread in 65% of their road games and in seven of their last 10 games overall.
Oakland is 47-38 ATS overall this season but only 22-26 ATS at home. They have not gone two consecutive games without covering the spread since June 10-11 and did not do so Saturday.
Take the ATHLETICS +1.5 (-185) to cover today.
Over/Under (O/U)
54.2% of the games at Oakland Coliseum have gone Over the projected total this season.
The first game of the series went Under the total and Saturday’s game hit the Over.
Only one of Pivetta’s last six starts has had a total of more than nine runs.
Only three of Kaprielian’s nine starts have gone Over nine runs.
Take UNDER 9 (-105).
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