The Cleveland Indians (40-31) open a four-game series on the road Thursday against the AL Central rival Minnesota Twins (31-42). First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET at Target Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Indians vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP J.C. Mejia is the projected starting pitcher for the Indians. The rookie is 1-2 with a 6.11 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 in 17 2/3 IP over 4 starts and 3 relief appearances.
Mejia is making his fourth start on the road already after entering the rotation at the beginning of the month. He gave up 6 ER on 7 H in 5 IP in his last outing at Pittsburgh.
RHP Jose Berrios is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins. He is 7-2 with a 3.56 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 in 83 1/3 IP over 14 starts.
The Twins have won his last seven starts. He allowed 2 ER on 5 H and 1 BB in 5 2/3 IP in a 5-3 loss at Cleveland on April 26.
MLB betting offers/promotions
BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.
- Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
- RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!
Indians at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Indians +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Twins -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Indians +1.5 (-130) | Twins -1.5 (+105)
- Over/Under: 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Twins 6, Indians 4
Money line (ML)
The Indians have won eight of their last 12 games are 20-18 on the road, but are 2-3 on their current road trip. They’ve yet to pick up a victory in Mejia’s previous three starts away from Cleveland.
The teams meet for the first time in Minnesota after splitting the first six games of the season series in Cleveland.
The Twins have won five of their last six games and have not lost with Berrios on the mound since May 8. They are 5-1 at home in Berrios starts.
Take the TWINS (-185).
FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Cleveland is 36-35 ATS this season and 21-17 ATS on the road. They have covered the spread in only four of their last 11 games, and are 0-4 ATS in Mejia’s starts.
Minnesota has the league’s lowest overall cover percentage at 35.6% and the lowest at home at 29.7%. However, Berrios on the mound changes things- they’re 7-7 ATS in his starts.
Take the TWINS -1.5 (+105).
Over/Under (O/U)
63.9% of the games at Target Field this season have gone Over the projected total. Seven of Berrios’ last nine starts have had totals of at least nine runs.
The Indians are 39-30-2 O/U this season and the Twins are 46-24-3 O/U.
Take OVER 9 (-110).
PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!
Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]