In a welterweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Dhiego Lima and Matt Brown meet at UFC on ESPN 25 – also known as UFC Vegas 29 and UFC Fight Night 190 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN 25 Lima vs. Brown odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The prelims kick off on ESPN2/ESPN+ at 4 p.m. ET, with the main card starting at 7 p.m. ET.
Lima is looking to bounce back after a unanimous-decision loss at UFC 258 against Belal Muhammad. It was his third consecutive fight to go the distance.
Brown has dropped each of his past two fights, including a unanimous-decision loss to Carlos Condit Jan. 16, 2021. Going the distance was a rarity, as he had finished inside the distance in his seven prior fights.
UFC on ESPN 25 Dhiego Lima vs. Matt Brown: Odds and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:25 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Dhiego Lima -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Matt Brown +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -125 | Under -105)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -115 | No -105)
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UFC on ESPN 25 Dhiego Lima vs. Matt Brown: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Lima 17-8-0 | Brown 24-18-0
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
LIMA (-185) is just a little over my personal money line limit of -180, but sometimes you have to make an exception. I like Lima, who is eight years younger than his counterpart, to send Brown (+150) out to pasture with his eighth loss in the past 11 outings.
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Over/Under (O/U)
In addition to a Lima victory, I like the YES (-115): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? As such, it’s also a good idea to play LIMA ON POINTS (+175) for a tremendous value.
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