The Tampa Bay Rays (43-26) and Seattle Mariners (34-36) open a four-game set Thursday with a 10:10 p.m. ET first pitch at T-Mobile Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Rich Hill is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays. He is 5-2 with a 3.38 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 in 66 2/3 IP over 13 starts.
Hill coughed up 4 ER, 4 H and 3 BB with 5 K in his most recent showing against Baltimore Saturday. He had won four of his previous five starts prior to that outing, however.
RHP Justin Dunn is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners. He is 1-3 with a 3.91 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 and 5.4 BB/9 in 48 1/3 IP over 10 starts.
Dunn was tagged for 5 ER, 9 H and 2 BB in just 3 IP in a loss at Cleveland Friday. He has dropped his last three decisions and hasn’t won in eight starts dating to April 15 in Baltimore.
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Rays at Mariners odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:43 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Rays -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Mariners +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
- Against the spread/ATS: Rays -1.5 (-105) | Mariners +1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under: 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Prediction
Rays 6, Mariners 3
Money line (ML)
RAYS (-175) are a little on the expensive side, but they’re the play in this one. Dunn cannot be trusted, as he hasn’t had much in the way of success. The southpaw veteran Hill has been the exact opposite, pitching with a lot of consistency with the exception of his most recent outing, but he’ll bounce back.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The RAYS -1.5 (-105) are a much better play on the run line at near even money. Tampa Bay has won by two or more runs in 11 of their past 12 victories. Hill has been on the mound for three of those victories, winning by two or more in two.
Over/Under (O/U)
The OVER 8 (-120) is the lean, ever so slightly. The Over is 7-1-2 in Tampa Bay’s last 10 as a road favorite, and 16-3-2 in the last 21 on the road against a right-handed starter. The Over is 4-1 in Seattle’s last five as an underdog, too.
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