The New York Yankees (35-32) look to complete a three-game sweep of the Toronto Blue Jays (33-33) Thursday at Sahlen Field in Buffalo, N.Y. First pitch is slated for 7:07 p.m. ET (on MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Blue Jays lead 6-5 despite dropping the first two games of this series, 6-5 Tuesday and 3-2 Wednesday.
RHP Michael King is projected to start the finale for the Yankees. He is 0-3 with a 3.77 ERA (31 IP, 13 ER), 1.36 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 and 3.8 BB/9 in 3 starts and 7 relief appearances this season.
- Last outing: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 7-5 loss at Minnesota Twins June 10
- As starter in 2021: 0-2, 6.35 ERA (11 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.59 WHIP, 7.9 K/9
- 2021 vs. Blue Jays: 0-0, 1.00 ERA (9 IP, 1 ER), 7 H, 2 BB, 6 BB in 2 relief outings
- Career vs. Blue Jays: 0-1, 5.65 ERA (14 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 6.9 K/9 in 5 games, including 1 start
RHP T.J. Zeuch is expected to start for Toronto, getting called up from the Triple-A Buffalo Bisons. Before being demoted in mid-April, he went 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA (12 IP, 9 ER), 1.92 WHIP, 4.5 K/9 and 5.3 BB/9 in 4 outings, including 2 starts, with the big-league club.
- 2021 MLB starts: 0-0, 4.50 ERA (8 IP, 4 ER), 7 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 2 starts – both against the Yankees
- 2021 with Bisons: 1-3, 4.37 ERA (35 IP, 17 ER), 1.40 WHIP, 6.2 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9 in 6 starts and 1 relief appearance
- Career vs. Yankees: 2-1, 3.80 ERA (23 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.27 WHIP, 6.5 K/9 in 3 starts and 3 relief appearances
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Yankees at Blue Jays odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:10 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Yankees -130 (bet $115 to win $100) | Blue Jays +105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -1.5 (+115) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-140)
- Over/Under: 10.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Blue Jays 7, Yankees 4
Money line (ML)
The BLUE JAYS (+105) are the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager.
Toronto’s .261 team batting average ranks second in the majors behind the Houston Astros (.275).
1B Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Co. will not get swept – especially with King on the hill for the Yankees.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
As long as the juice doesn’t climb above -150, back the BLUE JAYS +1.5 (-140) to WIN A HALF UNIT.
Toronto has covered the spread in five of its last six games and six of its last eight.
New York owns the second-worst ATS record in the majors just ahead of the Minnesota Twins (22-46 ATS).
ATS records: Yankees 26-41 | Blue Jays 35-31
Over/Under (O/U)
AVOID. The pitching matchup favors a high-scoring game, but backing an Over of 10.5 is risky and a bit much. I’ll PASS and just count on a Jays win.
O/U records: Yankees 28-38-1 | Blue Jays 30-34-2
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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
| JOHNNY’S RECORD | W-L | SP | ROI |
| 2021 MLB | 61-68-2 | 19-27-1 | -13.2475 |
| 2020 MLB | 80-59-1 | 39-21 | +24.79 |
| 2021 (all sports) | 167-155-3 | 70-69-1 | +1.8625 |
| *–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment | |||
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