The Arizona Diamondbacks (20-46) and San Francisco Giants (40-25) open a four-game NL West series Monday with a 9:45 p.m. ET first pitch at Oracle Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Matt Peacock is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 2-3 with a 5.24 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 6.3 K/9, and 2.6 BB/9 in 34 1/3 IP over 5 starts and 8 relief appearances.
Control problems have led to Peacock logging an 8.53 ERA over his last two starts. He’s walked 7 over 6 1/3 IP in those two turns.
LHP Alex Wood is the projected starter for the Giants. Wood is 5-3 with a 3.79 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 8.5 K/9, and 2.8 BB/9 in 57 IP over 10 starts this season.
He’s in a similar boat to Peacock’s: the lefty has walked 7 while posting an 11.00 ERA over 9 IP in his last two starts.
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Diamondbacks at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:49 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Diamondbacks +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Giants -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Diamondbacks +1.5 (-125) | Giants -1.5 (+105)
- Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Giants 4, Diamondbacks 3
Money line (ML)
The Diamondbacks went into a May 4 road trip to Miami with a 15-13 record. Thirty-eight games — and 33 losses! — later, the Snakes are spiraling toward a dismal season. The 5-33 mark in their last 38 games includes an 0-19 mark away from home.
San Francisco returns home after a 3-3 road trip. Against some good competition, the Giants are 10-7 over their last 17 games in their home yard.
Arizona is in wagering purgatory, and the D-backs haven’t hit enough on the road (.634 OPS) to deserve any serious consideration here. The price tag on the Giants is a bit steep, but SAN FRANCISCO (-190) is the best side to take in this battle between opposite ends of a talented division.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS on the run line. Wood’s recent control problems are accompanied by some struggles with the bats on the final five games of the road trip (.431 OPS).
Over/Under (O/U)
A hefty batter’s breeze forecast for 15 miles per hour out to center is expected for this game, but both starters are more likable than their recent stumbles would suggest, and both are adept at inducing lots of ground-ball contact.
The UNDER 8 (-110) is a “LEAN”, but consider holding out for a higher total or a better tag.
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