The Colorado Rockies (25-39) and Cincinnati Reds (30-31) match up Saturday at 4:10 p.m. ET in Great American Ball Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP German Marquez is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies. He is 4-5 with a 3.91 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, and 9.5 K/9 in 71 1/3 IP over 13 starts.
Marquez has pitched very well lately, totaling just three earned runs in his last 26 IP. With a combined 27 strikeouts over that period, he’ll look to continue his hot streak.
LHP Wade Miley is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds. He is 5-4 with a 2.96 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, and 7.9 K/9 in 54 2/3 IP over 10 starts. Having thrown a no-hitter this season, Miley had made his presence felt.
While he’s given up just two earned runs in his last 15 2/3 innings, the game prior to that streak he had eight earned runs against Colorado. He’s hoping for better luck in Round 2.
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Rockies at Reds odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:05 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Rockies +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Reds -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-165) | Reds -1.5 (+140)
- Over/Under: 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Rockies 5, Reds 4
Money line (ML)
BET to the Rockies (+115).
The Rockies scored 5 runs in the opening game of the series and got an awful performance from starting pitcher Kyle Freeland. With Marquez on the mound, they should be able to tame the Reds.
If that’s the case, they could easily sneak away with the win. The Reds are 4-7 after winning the first game in the series.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS on the Rockies +1.5 (-165) even though they started to make contact at the plate in Game 1 of the series after five scoreless innings.
Colorado also didn’t hit well against one of the worst bullpens in the MLB. Miley takes the mound for Cincinnati, and the Rockies have the league’s fifth-best OPS against left-handed pitching.
Combine all that, and the faith should be in Colorado to pull off the upset. While it could be close, the pick for the Rockies straight up is a better value than the run line.
Over/Under (O/U)
PASS on the total as it climbed from their series’ opener after the two teams combined for 16 runs.
Both teams hit well in Game 1 of the series. While the Rockies did lose by six, they put up five runs of their own.
After wearing down Reds starter Tyler Mahle, Colorado was able to put up a four-run inning. Cincinnati was hitting historically well. I don’t expect that to continue.
The last two times the Reds put up five or more runs, they had three or fewer in the next game of the series. If that trend continues, expect the Under to hit, but I don’t find the value in betting this one either way.
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