The Toronto Blue Jays (31-28) go for the road series win over the Chicago White Sox (37-24) Thursday. First pitch at Guaranteed Rate Field will be at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.
The series is tied 1-1 after Toronto’s 6-2 win Wednesday.
Blue Jays LHP Hyun Jin Ryu (5-3, 3.23 ERA) makes his 12th start. He enters with a 1.11 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 64 innings.
- Allowing 1.1 HR/9 with his hard-hit and fly-ball rates both well above his career average
- Gave up 7 runs (6 earned) on 7 hits and 3 walks over 5 2/3 innings in a loss to the Houston Astros in his last start Friday
White Sox LHP Dallas Keuchel (4-1, 4.25 ERA) has pitched a total of 65 2/3 innings over 12 starts. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 4.5 K/9.
- His 60.0% ground-ball rate is his best since 2017 with the Houston Astros
- Pitched to a no-decision over 6 innings Friday against the Detroit Tigers; allowed 2 runs (1 earned) on 5 hits and 1 walk with 3 strikeouts
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Blue Jays at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:12 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Blue Jays -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | White Sox -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Blue Jays -1.5 (+135) | White Sox +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
White Sox 4, Blue Jays 3
Money line (ML)
The WHITE SOX (-105) are the team to back as slight home underdogs in the series finale off of Wednesday’s loss.
They’re tied for second in baseball with a .808 team OPS against left-handed pitching while the Blue Jays are 13th at a rate of .741. Though Toronto has a quality 40.7% ground-ball rate against lefties, it’s last in baseball with a 26.4% rate of hard contact in the split.
Ryu should bounce back from his worst outing of the season, but the hard-hit and fly-ball rates are still concerning.
The Blue Jays also used four relievers for the final four innings of Wednesday’s game, including RHP Jordan Romero, while Sox used three. Chicago already has a significant advantage in the bullpens with an MLB-best 3.58 xFIP on the season.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Back the WHITE SOX +1.5 (-165) with a run of insurance in the event of a loss, albeit as a less profitable play than the outright upset.
Ryu has the advantage in the starting pitching matchup but Chicago should be able to do its damage against the Jays bullpen.
Over/Under (O/U)
Bet UNDER 8.5 (-105). The Jays are at their worst against left-handed pitching, including 1B Vladimir Guerrero Jr. He leads the American League with 18 home runs through 59 games but just 2 of those have come against lefties.
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