The 1-seed Utah Jazz (2-1) try to take a commanding lead in Game 4 of their Western Conference First Round playoff series with the 8-seed Memphis Grizzlies (1-2) Monday at FedExForum. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Jazz-Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.
The Jazz took a 2-1 series lead against the Grizzlies by jumping out to a 34-22 first-quarter lead in Game 3 that Memphis couldn’t overcome. Utah beat Memphis 121-111 and covered the spread as a 5.5-point favorite. Utah’s backcourt of PG Mike Conley and SG Donovan Mitchell combined for 56 points on 17-for-39 shooting with 13 assists.
Utah’s offense has been unstoppable in this series, ranking second in offensive rating, true shooting percentage and FT/FGA rate this postseason.
Jazz at Grizzlies: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:30 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Jazz -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Grizzlies +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
- Against the spread/ATS: Jazz -5.5 (-110) | Grizzlies +5.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 225.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Jazz at Grizzlies: Key injuries
Jazz
- None.
Grizzlies
- Nothing affecting the betting odds.
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Jazz at Grizzlies: Odds, lines, predictions, and picks
Prediction
Jazz 118, Grizzlies 114
Money line (ML)
PASS even though I like Memphis plus the points because Utah’s offensive execution against the Grizzlies this season has been top-notch.
The Jazz’s backcourt is matching Memphis’ but Utah’s supporting cast is just stronger than the Grizzlies’ and there are too many paths to victory for the Jazz.
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Against the spread (ATS)
“LEAN” to the GRIZZLIES +5.5 (-110) for a half unit because Memphis has played Utah tough through three games—splitting the “four factors”—and even outscored the Jazz after the first quarter of the Game 3 loss.
Memphis is continuing to excel in the “miscellaneous” areas in which it had success during the regular season such as points off of turnovers, second-chance points, fast-break points and points in the paint. The Grizzlies are either leading or second in all of those metrics this postseason.
Also, Memphis’ season would be in jeopardy if it goes down 3-1 before heading back to Salt Lake City for Game 5 and the Grizzlies can make this a single-possession game if the Jazz’s 3-point shooting regresses even a little.
Over/Under (O/U)
“LEAN” to the OVER 225.5 (-110) for a half unit since both teams are getting exactly what they want offensively and this series is the third-fastest in the first round.
The Over cashed in seven of the past eight Jazz-Grizzlies meetings dating back to 2019; however, my hesitancy is due to nearly 85% of the money wagered being with the Over, according to Pregame.com, and I hate being on the same side as a lopsided market in sports betting.
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