The New York Yankees (24-19) and Texas Rangers (19-26) put the lid on a four-game series Thursday with a 2:05 p.m. ET game at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Rangers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Domingo German is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. He is 3-2 with a 3.62 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 8.9 K/9, and 1.9 BB/9 in 37 1/3 IP over 7 starts.
In his last start, German allowed just 1 run in six frames. He has registered quality starts in four of his last five outings and owns a 2.37 ERA over that span.
RHP Dane Dunning is the projected starter for the Rangers. Dunning is 2-3 with a 4.34 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 10.1 K/9, and 3.1 BB/9 in 37 1/3 IP over 8 starts.
The 26-year-old right-hander struggled early in his last start and only went four innings. But Dunning has otherwise pitched well this season, and his 4.34 ERA is inflated by a .358 batting average on balls in play.
He’s pitched especially well in his home yard where in 8 career games he owns a 3.35 ERA while holding foes to a tidy .566 OPS.
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Yankees at Rangers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:08 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Yankees -135 (bet $135 win $100) | Rangers +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -1.5 (+125) | Rangers +1.5 (-150)
- Over/Under: 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Rangers 4, Yankees 3
Money line (ML)
The Rangers took Monday’s series opener 5-2 and snapped a six-game losing skid. Texas came into the series having posted a .598 OPS during the skid.
The Yankees took Tuesday’s game, 7-4, and then rode a Corey Kluber no-hitter to a 2-0 win on Wednesday.
Look for a hangover bounce in Thursday’s get-away day against a right-hander who’s analytic-ERA measures are in the low 3s.
Dunning’s stuff projects well against right-handed bats, and that’s a big part of the New York arsenal. The Yanks are thus far 1-5 in get-away days on the road. The five losses have been in a row.
BACK TEXAS (+110), and a hold-out for a better price closer to first pitch is suggested.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS on the run-line action, although consider a play on the Rangers should the tag reach -140.
Over/Under (O/U)
There has been some big money going toward the Over side of the ledger here. I’d be inclined to PASS but to swing a play the other way and hit the Under if the total went to 8.5. Yankee injuries, their rested bullpen, and decent (likely underrated) starters backing up the action.
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