The Los Angeles Dodgers (17-16) meet the Los Angeles Angels (14-17) Saturday for the second of the three-game Freeway Series at Angel Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 9:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Angels odds with MLB picks and predictions.
The Angels beat the Dodgers 9-2 last night with their first four batters (2B David Fletcher, Shohei Ohtani, Mike Trout and LF Justin Upton) hitting a combined 8-for-17 with 1 HR, 2 doubles, 1 triple and 7 RBIs.
Season series: Angels 1-0.
LHP Clayton Kershaw is getting the start for the Dodgers. Kershaw is 4-3 with a 2.95 ERA (39 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.03 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 across 7 starts.
- Last outing: Loss, 7-1, in 1 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 2 BB and 2 K Tuesday vs. the Chicago Cubs.
- Career vs. the Angels: 7-2 with a 2.45 ERA (88 1/3 IP, 24 ER), 1.01 WHIP and 9.9 K/9 over 13 starts.
- Vs. Angels on the current roster: 202 at-bats with a .188/.245/.292 slash line, 60/15 K/BB rate, 4 HR and 17 RBIs.
RHP Dylan Bundy is the projected starter for the Angels. Bundy is 0-3 with a 4.00 ERA (36 IP, 16 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 across 6 starts.
- Last outing: Loss, 0-2, in 6 IP with 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 6 K at the Seattle Mariners Sunday.
- Career vs. the Dodgers: 0-1 with a 2.25 ERA (8 IP, 2 ER), 1.63 WHIP and 14.6 K/9 over 1 start and 1 relief appearance.
- Vs. Dodgers on the current roster: 54 at-bats with a .278/.361/.574 slash line, 11/6 K/BB rate, 4 HR and 10 RBIs.
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Dodgers at Angels odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:15 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Dodgers -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Angels +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (+120) | Angels +1.5 (-145)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Dodgers 4, Angels 2
Money line (ML)
Kershaw is working on three days of rest because he only threw 39 pitches in his last start. So I’m expecting a bounce-back effort from the eventual Hall of Famer.
Also, Kershaw has pitched well against the Angels’ lineup throughout his career, and the Angels batter that hits Kershaw best is Anthony Rendon who’s on the injured list with a knee issue.
Lastly, Bundy’s pitching performance against the Angels leads me in the direction of betting the Dodgers.
For instance, the reason why the Dodgers’ slash line has a sub-.300 batting average is because Mookie Betts is only hitting .250 BA vs. Bundy in 36 career at-bats.
But, Betts has gone yard four times on Bundy, and there are five other Dodgers hitters that went 1-for-3 or better in their one game against Bundy, back in 2019.
“LEAN” to the DODGERS (-130) FIRST 5 INNINGS for a half unit instead of the full-game price since the Dodgers’ biggest edge over the Angels is in the starting pitching department, and both bullpens are below-average.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS because the Dodgers have been struggling lately, and the payout of both the regular and First 5 Innings run lines aren’t fat enough to take a shot at.
Over/Under (O/U)
Even though I prefer betting Kershaw and the Dodgers here doesn’t mean I’m not buying stock on Bundy. His winless record and 4-flat ERA is because of poor luck, not poor pitching.
Statcast grades Bundy in the 83rd percentile in expected wOBA, 87th percentile in exit velocity, 93rd percentile in hard-hit rate and 95th percentile in chase rate.
I’ll gamble a tad on the bullpens and “LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (-115) for a half unit.
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