The Minnesota Timberwolves (20-45) host the Memphis Grizzlies (32-32) Wednesday at Target Center for an 8 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Grizzlies-Timberwolves odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.
Memphis has lost back-to-back games and four of its last five (1-4 against the spread) with the latest being a 118-104 beatdown at home administered by the red-hot New York Knicks Monday.
Minnesota had its four-game winning streak snapped Saturday with a 140-136 overtime loss to the New Orleans Pelicans as 3.5-point home underdogs.
Memphis is going for the season sweep of Minnesota after winning the first two meetings by double digits. The Grizzlies have won and covered five straight against the T-Wolves.
The Grizzlies are all but a lock for the postseason play-in tournament as they are the 9-seed, 4.5 games back of the sixth-place Los Angeles Lakers and 3 games ahead of the 11-seed Pelicans.
Grizzlies at Timberwolves: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:40 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Grizzlies -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Timberwolves +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Against the spread/ATS: Grizzlies -3 (-110) | Timberwolves +3 (-110)
- Over/Under: 238.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Grizzlies at Timberwolves: Key injuries
Grizzlies
- PF Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) out
Timberwolves
- SG Malik Beasley (hamstring) out
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Grizzlies at Timberwolves: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Timberwolves 122, Grizzlies 118
Money line (ML)
On paper, this is a terrible matchup for the T-Wolves (+125) who rank in the bottom-10 of several miscellaneous categories such as paint points per, second-chance points per and fast-break points per game whereas the Grizzlies (-150) are top-5 in all of those metrics.
However, doesn’t this Memphis price seem cheap given these edges? For me, it’s fairly obvious that bookmakers are trying to entice bettors into a trap.
My play here is a slight “LEAN” to the TIMBERWOLVES (+125) for a tiny wager if all because Minnesota has demonstrated it can rip defeat out of the jaws of victory and have blown late leads all year long.
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Against the spread (ATS)
GIMME the TIMBERWOLVES +3 (-110) since we are seeing “reverse line movement” in the betting market and this is actually a good spot for Minnesota.
For instance, according to Pregame.com, more than 80% of the money wagered has been on the Grizzlies to cover, however, bookmakers have brought the line down from Memphis laying 3.5 points on the opener.
Furthermore, the T-Wolves are well-rested and 10-4-1 ATS when being spotted from 3-4.5 points.
Also, there’s questionable motivation for each team entering this game, but the T-Wolves have been a tough out over the past two weeks. The Grizzlies could definitely sleep on a Minnesota team they’ve owned in recent years.
Over/Under (O/U)
Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 238.5 (-110) for a quarter unit because we are getting the same reverse line movement for the total as the ATS lines, and the Over has cashed in seven of Memphis’ last eight games.
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