The Detroit Tigers (7-16) and Chicago White Sox (12-9) tangle in the first game of an AL Central series Tuesday at Guaranteed Rate Field. First pitch will be thrown at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Jose Urena is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers. He is 0-3 with a 4.57 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, 7.9 K/9 and 5.0 BB/9 through 21 2/3 IP over 4 starts this season. Urena exhibited spotty control over his first two starts, but he has since rebounded to allow just 4 ER over 14 IP in his last two outings.
RHP Lucas Giolito is the projected starter for the White Sox. He is 1-1 with a 5.79 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 12.5 K/9 and 3.4 BB/9 through 18 2/3 IP spanning 4 starts. Gioloto was rocked in his last start for 7 ER in just 1 IP at the Boston Red Sox. That start was April 19; the Chicago righty has been dealing with a cut on the middle finger of his pitching hand.
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Tigers at Chicago White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:40 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Tigers +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | White Sox -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Tigers +1.5 (+105) | White Sox -1.5 (-125)
- Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
White Sox 5, Tigers 2
Money line (ML)
Chicago heads into this series on a four-game winning streak. The Pale Hose have won six of their last seven, while scoring 5.6 runs per game along the way on the strength of a .859 team OPS.
Detroit has lost five games in a row and 10 of its last 11 contests. Over those 11 games, the Tigers have averaged 1.8 RPG on a .534 OPS.
The ChiSox have much the better starter, bullpen, and offense in this one. The momentum is a one-way swing as well. The tag, though, feels like paying full freight for a healthy Giolito.
PASS … but Chicago (-250) is the closest lean of the two.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Tigers own a toothless .709 OPS against Giolito, and the White Sox hurler is backed by a top-5 bullpen that figures to be much better than its 4.64 surface ERA. It’s also rested after Monday’s off day.
BACK THE WHITE SOX -1.5 (-120).
Over/Under (O/U)
Tuesday’s forecast calls for a warmed-up Chicago and a double-digit breeze out to left field but consider a bet on the UNDER 8 (-110), especially if the price slides toward Over betting as it has in parts of the morning market.
The Tigers lineup against righties typically skews left and won’t figure to leverage the right-pull wind. Urena (and to a moderate degree the Detroit bullpen) does well to keep the ball out of the air. Add in a play on Giolito and the Sox relievers being undersold by their surface numbers.
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