The Arizona Diamondbacks (2-4) visit the Colorado Rockies (2-4) for a Thursday game at 3:10 p.m. ET at Coors Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Merrill Kelly is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He made five starts last year, logging a 2.59 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 8.3 K/9, and 1.4 BB/9 in 31 1/3 IP. In his 2021 debut against the San Diego Padres, Kelly yielded 3 runs over 4 frames.
RHP Jon Gray is the projected starter for the Rockies. In eight starts last season, Gray went 2-4 with a 6.69 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 5.1 K/9, and 2.5 BB/9 over 39 IP. He struck out 7 against the Los Angeles Dodgers while allowing 1 run in 5 IP Saturday. Gray left that game in the sixth with full-body cramps.
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Diamondbacks at Rockies odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:25 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Diamondbacks +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Rockies -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Diamondbacks +1.5 (-165) | Rockies -1.5 (+140)
- Over/Under: 11 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Prediction
Rockies 5, Diamondbacks 4
Money line (ML)
Both starting pitchers have plenty of warts. Gray has a .932 OPS allowed against current Arizona batters and is an injury concern; Kelly has a 7.71 ERA in two starts at Coors Field and is a slow starter. It’s a side you may not want to touch with a 10-foot pole.
If you have an 11-foot pole, consider COLORADO (-125). Gray looked good enough in his debut to warrant the Rockies being a near-55% proposition against a Snakes team that went just 9-21 away from Phoenix last season.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Neither bullpen is worthy of much attention. It is a Coors Field game, but a wind-in one with two offenses not exactly running on all cylinders early. PASS.
Over/Under (O/U)
There is some risk with these starters and the relief corps that follow them, but there is a bit of value to be had on the underside of this total. Thin Denver air is thin Denver air, but it’s not hot yet (temps in the 60s for this one), and a pitcher’s breeze is in the forecast.
With a small measure of play on Gray and a bit of a fade of the Rockies and D-Backs bats, TAKE THE UNDER 11 (+100).
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