The Milwaukee Brewers (1-2) head to the Windy City for a three-game series at the Chicago Cubs (2-1) Monday at Wrigley Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Cubs odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Milwaukee beat the Minnesota Twins opening day but dropped the next two in losing the series. The Brewers bullpen was shaky over the weekend, posting a 5.68 ERA and 1.74 WHIP in 12 2/3 IP vs. the Twins.
Chicago lost to the National League Central Division rival Pittsburgh Pirates opening day before winning the last two games by a combined score of 9-4.
LHP Brett Anderson makes his 2021 debut for the Brewers Monday. Anderson was 4-4 with a 4.21 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 6.1 K/9 and 1.9 BB/9 in 47 IP across 10 starts in 2020.
- 2020 vs. Cubs: 0-1 with a 4.15 ERA (4 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 5 K, 2 BB) in 1 start.
- Career vs. Cubs: 1-1 with a 2.66 ERA (20 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 24 H, 19 K, 3 BB) over 4 starts.
- 2021 Spring Training: 2-1 with a 2.66 ERA (20 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 24 H, 16 K, 4 BB) in 6 starts.
RHP Trevor Williams, who played the first five years of his career with the Pirates, is projected to start for the Cubs Monday. In 2020, Williams was 2-8 with a 6.18 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 and 3.4 BB/9 in 55 1/3 IP over 11 starts.
- 2020 vs. Brewers: 0-0 with a 6.75 ERA (4 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 6 K, 2 BB) in 1 start.
- Career vs. Brewers: 3-3 with a 3.09 ERA (46 2/3 IP, 16 ER, 36 H, 50 K and 15 BB) in 9 appearances, including 8 starts.
- 2021 Spring Training: 2-0 with a 1.32 ERA (13 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 12 H, 11 K, 1 BB) in 4 starts.
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Brewers at Cubs odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:07 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Brewers -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Cubs -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Brewers +1.5 (-200) | Cubs -1.5 (+165)
- Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Cubs 9, Brewers 4
Money line (ML)
This is a “good spot” for the CUBS (-115), who are 8-4 since 2020 vs. left-handed pitchers, including a 4-2 win over Anderson last season. The Brewers were 19-26 vs. righties since last season.
I think we see a rejuvenated Williams for Chicago since it has to be uplifting moving from a Pirates team destined for 100 losses to the reigning NL Central winners.
Take it with a grain of salt, but Williams’ numbers and stuff looked good in his new uni this Spring Training.
Furthermore, this is a “Pros vs. Joes” scenario in the betting market as more money is coming in on Chicago’s money line whereas more actual bets have been placed on Milwaukee’s, according to Pregame.com.
Generally, it’s more lucrative to follow the money instead of the crowd so let’s BET CUBS (-115) for 0.75 units.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Bet CUBS -1.5 (+165) for a quarter unit because Milwaukee’s ‘pen looked shaky in its first three games and I like the righties in the heart of Chicago’s lineup to do some damage on Anderson in the early innings.
Over/Under (O/U)
“LEAN” toward OVER 9.5 (-110) for a tiny wager if at all because there are 9-mph winds blowing out to left-centerfield. That could help Cubs right-handed power hitters such as 3B Kris Bryant and SS Javier Baez.
This is a “Pro vs. Joes” spot for the total as well with more money being bet on the Over, but more of the public is on the Under. Also, Anderson has a 7.81 ERA in 7 career starts at Wrigley Field.
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