The Indiana Pacers (21-23) visit the Washington Wizards (16-28) Monday for a 7 p.m. ET game at Capital One Arena. Below, we analyze the Pacers-Wizards odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.
Indiana has won four of its past five games while going 3-2 against the spread, including two straight wins against the Detroit Pistons Wednesday and a Luka Doncic-less Dallas Mavericks Friday.
Washington snapped a three-game losing skid its last time out by beating up on the lowly Pistons 106-92, moving to 2-8 straight up and 4-6 ATS in its last 10 games. The Wizards slid to the 13-seed in the Eastern Conference as a result of their recent performance.
This is the first Pacers-Wizards game of the 2020-21 season but Indiana has won three in a row and five of its last six games against Washington (5-1 ATS).
Pacers at Wizards: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:20 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Pacers -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Wizards +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
- Against the spread/ATS: Pacers -5 (-110) | Wizards +5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 234.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Pacers at Wizards: Key injuries
Pacers
- SF Doug McDermott (ankle) questionable
- SF T.J. Warren (foot) out
Wizards
- SG Bradley Beal (hip) questionable
- PF Davis Bertans (calf) out
- PG Ish Smith (quadriceps) out
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Pacers at Wizards: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Pacers 118, Wizards 110
Money line (ML)
PASS because Indiana is the right side but the -200 tag is too steep of a price to pay for an outright victory.
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Against the spread (ATS)
Washington and its two leading scorers— Beal and PG Russell Westbrook—like to operate in the mid-range and, according to CleaningTheGlass.com, the Wizards attempt the third-highest volume of mid-range shots; however, Indiana is 12th in defensive mid-range shooting percentage.
Also, the Pacers attempt the second-highest rate of shots at the rim and the Wizards’ defense is 20th in defensive field goal percentage for shots at the rim.
Pacers SG Caris LeVert scored only 6 points in his first game this season against the Wizards (while with the Brooklyn Nets) but that was while he was coming off the bench with his former team. He scored 34 points in both of his starts against the Wizards last season.
Finally, Indiana has picked apart bad teams this season; the Pacers are 10-2 overall and seventh in net points per 100 possessions with a plus-4.7 ATS margin vs. teams in the bottom-10 of net efficiency, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.
BET PACERS -5 (-110) for 1 unit.
Over/Under (O/U)
Slight LEAN toward UNDER 234.5 (-110) for a quarter-unit even though most of the situational trends for both teams point to the Over.
At the moment, Beal’s game status is in question and if the current leading scorer in the NBA cannot play it’ll definitely improve the chances of the Under cashing.
Also, three of Washington’s last four games have gone Under the total by an average of 21.8 points including a 113-106 loss to the Nets which went Under by 29.5 points.
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Also see:
- NBA trade deadline recap and buyout market preview with Michael Scotto and Yossi Gozlan (Hoops Hype)
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