The San Antonio Spurs (22-19) host the Los Angeles Clippers (29-16) for the second straight night Thursday at AT&T Center. Tip-off is set for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Clippers-Spurs odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.
Los Angeles has won three games in a row and four of its past five contests while going 4-1 against the spread, including a 134-101 beatdown of San Antonio as a 6-point road favorite Wednesday. The Spurs are on a three-game losing skid following a three-game win streak. They are 4-5 straight up but 5-4 ATS to start the second half of their season.
The Clippers are 5-2 straight up and 4-3 ATS against the Spurs since signing SF Kawhi Leonard and SF Paul George in 2019.
Clippers at Spurs: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:15 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Clippers -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Spurs +195 (bet $100 to win $195)
- Against the spread/ATS: Clippers -6 (-110) | Spurs +6 (-110)
- Over/Under: 222.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Clippers at Spurs: Key injuries
Clippers
- PG Patrick Beverley (knee) out
- PF Serge Ibaka (back) out
Spurs
- SG Lonnie Walker IV (wrist) out
- C LaMarcus Aldridge (coach’s decision) out
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Clippers at Spurs: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Clippers
Money line (ML)
PASS with a LEAN toward the Spurs (+195) because I like San Antonio to cover the spread and will often sprinkle on an underdog’s money line when taking them plus the points.
The Clippers’ post-All-Star break form has been scary and now might not be the time to fade Los Angeles. If the Spurs were closer to +260 on the money line, I’d entertain it, but not at this price.
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Against the spread (ATS)
Bookmakers opening the Clippers-Spurs game with Los Angeles laying 5.5 points after last night’s 33-point victory as a 6-point favorite shows how hard it’s been for teams to win and cover two straight games against the same opponent.
If the House isn’t overreacting to last night’s result – and according to pregame.com, nearly 90% of the money is coming in on the Clippers – then my instinct is to fade the market in this spot and trust the House’s read.
The Clippers’ current three-game ATS winning streak is the first time they’ve strung together back-to-back covers since three straight from February 12-15.
In fact, Los Angeles is just 13-15 ATS following a win and San Antonio is 10-8 ATS after a loss.
LEAN SPURS +6 (-110) for a half-unit but wait until closer to tip-off to see if we can get a better price with San Antonio.
Over/Under (O/U)
GIMME UNDER 222.5 (-115) for a half-unit.
It’s going to be hard for San Antonio’s offense to get quality looks when it is so dependent on SG DeMar DeRozan and L.A. has two quality defensive wings to throw at him.
Also, SF Rudy Gay being available immensely improves San Antonio’s defense and he can help clog the interior, which is where George and Leonard like to operate.
According to CleaningTheGlass.com, Gay is in the 100th percentile of bigs in on-off court rating for team defensive points per 100 possessions and 99th percentile for defensive effective field-goal shooting.
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Also see:
- Bet Slippin’ Podcast: 2021 MLB National League Betting Preview
- Hoops Hype rumors: Clippers | Spurs
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