The Detroit Tigers look to improve on their 23-35 showing in last year’s shortened season. It was their third last-place AL Central finish in the past four years. Below, we look at the Detroit Tigers’ MLB futures odds, including their projected 2021 win total and World Series odds at BetMGM.
With two of the last three overall No. 1 MLB Draft picks, Detroit’s future is promising. Arizona State’s 3B Spencer Torkelson was the No. 1 selection last summer; RHP Casey Mize, out of Auburn, was the first pick in 2018. Torkelson isn’t expected to be ready for the majors yet, but Mize made his MLB debut in 2020.
The outfield will look a little different with free-agent OF additions of Robbie Grossman (last year with Oakland A’s) and Nomar Mazara (Chicago White Sox). C Wilson Ramos (New York Mets) replaces C Austin Romine (now with the Chicago Cubs) behind the plate.
The real issue is pitching. The Tigers rotation ranked last in the majors with a 6.37 ERA in 2020.
LHP Matthew Boyd will likely be the Opening Day starter with RHPs Spencer Turnbull and Michael Fulmer atop in the rotation.
Then it’s a bit discouraging.
The last two spots are up for grabs in a spring training battle between young prospects Mize and LHP Tarik Skubal and free-agent RHPs Julio Teheran and Jose Urena.
Mize (0-3, 6.99 ERA in 2020) and Skubal (1-4, 5.63 ERA) started a combined 14 games for the Tigers last season. Teheran is coming off an 0-4, 10.05 ERA campaign with the Los Angeles Angels. Urena was 0-3 with a 5.40 ERA last year with Miami Marlins.
Detroit Tigers’ 2021 World Series odds
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday, March 14 at 3:01 p.m. ET.
Odds: +10000 (bet $100 to win $10,000)
The Tigers are tied with the five teams for the third-longest odds in the majors. The five clubs are the Arizona Diamondbacks, Baltimore Orioles, Colorado Rockies, Kansas City Royals and Seattle Mariners. The Texas Rangers check in at +15000. The longest odds belong to the Pittsburgh Pirates at +20000.
It’s no surprise the World Series champion Los Angeles Dodgers (+350) are the favorites. Next in line are the New York Yankees (+550), White Sox (+900) and San Diego Padres (+900).
At +10000, the Tigers have an implied probability of winning the World Series of 0.99% or 100/1 fractional odds. It would make for a great payoff, but there’s NO WAY the Tigers even make the playoffs. PASS.
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Detroit Tigers’ 2021 win total
Over/Under: 69.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Last year’s 23 victories across 58 games are equivalent to 64 wins in a full 162-game season. With their pitching, the lean is to the UNDER 69.5.
Odds to win the AL Central Division
- White Sox -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Minnesota Twins: +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
- Cleveland Indians: +750 (bet $100 to win $750)
- Royals: +4000 (bet $100 to win $4,000)
- Tigers: +6600 (bet $100 to win $6,600)
The implied probability for the Tigers to win the AL Central is 1.49% or 66/1 fractional odds. Again, not going to happen. PASS.
Odds to win the American League
Odds: +6600 (bet $100 to win $6,600)
PASS. Only the Rangers (+8000) have longer odds, while the Orioles, Royals and Mariners (+6600 each) have the same potential payoff as the Tigers.
The Yankees (+240) and White Sox (+400) are the favorites.
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