We get a welterweight bout between Adrien Broner and Jovanie Santiago at the Mohegan Sun Casino in Uncasville, Conn. Saturday. The fight is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET on Showtime. Below, we break down the Broner-Santiago odds, with boxing picks and predictions.
Broner vs. Santiago: Fight odds
Adrien Broner: -750 (bet $750 to win $100) | Jovanie Santiago: +500 (bet $100 to win $500)
Broner vs. Santiago: Tale of the tape
Adrien Broner
Broner (33-4-1, 1 no contest) returns to the ring after a 25-month layoff, and of course the biggest question will be whether “The Problem” has any rust. A series of legal issues derailed his career, but he is hungry to get back on top. Broner is still just 31 years old, and the four-time, multi-division champion and he is heavily favored against what most feel to be a tune-up fight against a tomato can. It might take a couple of rounds for Broner to get his sea legs after a lengthy hiatus, but you can expect him to take over by about the fifth round and end this thing before it gets to the seventh.
Play our new free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Jovanie Santiago
Santiago (14-0-1) is a fighter that is a bit of an unknown. He has registered 10 knockouts, but no one is seriously thinking he will be able to shock the world. Santiago doesn’t have nearly the power of a pre-layoff Broner, and there is no reason to believe “The Problem” won’t bring that same power to the ring Saturday. That’s going to be a problem for Santiago, who will easily be facing the most polished opponent of his career.
Place your legal, online boxing sports bets in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV at BetMGM, The King of Sportsbooks! New customer offer: Risk-free first bet. Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!
Broner vs. Santiago odds, predictions and picks
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:05 p.m. ET.
Broner (-750) is just way too expensive, costing you seven-and-a-half times your potential return on the 3-way line. That’s not a good long-term betting strategy, especially when it comes to a guy who hasn’t fought in over two calendar years. Let’s get more specific instead.
Instead, look to BRONER BY KO/TKO/TECHNICAL DECISION OR DQ (+100) on even money. It might be a slow-go early on, but in individual round betting, target BRONER IN ROUND 6 (+1400), BRONER IN ROUND 7 (+1200) and BRONER IN ROUND 8 (+1200). Yes, you will lose two ends of that three-round block, but if Broner gets it done in Rounds 6-8, you will be well ahead. You can also get a little more wiggle room in Round Group Betting 2, taking BRONER IN ROUNDS 5-8 (+350). And if you want even more room for error, and you need not even bet a specific fighter, taking ROUNDS 7-12 (+200) in Round Group Betting 4 is a good chance to double up.
If you want some action on this bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Boxing Junkie:
- Adrien Broner, Jovanie Santiago make new limit of 147 pounds
- Josh Warrington admits he underestimated Mauricio Lara, wants rematch
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=2559]