In a women’s flyweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Maycee Barber and Alexa Grasso meet at UFC 258 at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The early prelims kick off at 6:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the prelims on ESPN/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. The main card on pay-per-view is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the UFC 258 odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
Barber vs. Grasso: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 10:21 p.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Maycee Barber +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Alexa Grasso -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -250 | Under +200)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -200 | No +170)
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Barber vs. Grasso: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Barber 8-1 | Grasso 12-3
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
BARBER (+100) at even money is a good play on the 2-way line in this fairly even matchup against Grasso (-120). Barber is coming off her first professional loss, a unanimous-decision loss to Roxanne Modafferi Jan. 18, 2020, at UFC 246. Prior to the loss, Barber recorded three consecutive KO/TKO to kick off her arrival at the UFC level, including a solid win over Hannah Cifers in her debut Nov. 10, 2018.
Grasso has alternated wins and losses in her seven fights since arriving at the UFC level. She is coming off a unanimous-decision win over Ji Yeon Kim Aug. 29, 2020, so if you believe the trend will continue, a loss is in the offing.
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Over/Under (O/U)
Grasso has gone the distance in six of her seven fights since arriving at the UFC level, and eight of her previous nine bouts have gone to the judges. That’s the opposite of Barber, however, who has finished inside the distance in six of her past seven professional bouts, although she did go all the way against Modafferi. The lean here is to YES (-200): THE FIGHT GOES THE DISTANCE.
In addition, playing BARBER ON POINTS (+340) is a good play, with the opportunity to more than triple up and build that bankroll for future fights.
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