NFL Divisional Round: Kansas City Chiefs decisive home favorites vs. Cleveland Browns

The Kansas City Chiefs are the betting favorites in their NFL Divisional Round home game against the Cleveland Browns.

The Cleveland Browns (12-5) travel to meet the Kansas City Chiefs (14-2) Sunday in an AFC Divisional Round matchup at 3:05 p.m. ET at Arrowhead Stadium. Below, we take a look at the early Browns-Chiefs betting odds and lines at BetMGM Sportsbook.

As the No. 7 seed, the Browns went on the road and knocked off the second-seeded Pittsburgh Steelers 48-37 Sunday in a Wild Card bout Sunday. Cleveland led wire to wire, scoring a defensive touchdown on the Pittsburgh’s first play from scrimmage en route to a 28-0 advantage after one quarter. Things got a little hairy in the second half, as the Steelers closed it to a two-score game (35-23) late in the third quarter, but the Browns were able to hang on to claim the franchise’s first playoff victory since 1994. In addition, it was the most points ever scored against the Steelers in a postseason game. Cleveland also made NFL history as 28 points was the most ever scored in the opening quarter of a playoff game. The Browns advance with a lot of confidence and a stout run game, which will be the focal point of the Kansas City defense. Former Chiefs RB Kareem Hunt will return to K.C. for the first time since he was unceremoniously dumped by the team following an off-field altercation, so he’ll likely have revenge on his mind. He scored both of Cleveland’s rushing touchdowns in Pittsburgh Sunday.

The Chiefs are well rested. The defending Super Bowl champs sewed up the top seed in the AFC after Week 16. They were able to rest key personnel, including QB Patrick Mahomes and WR Tyreek Hill, in Week 17 against the Los Angeles Chargers. They used mostly reserves to close out the regular season and were manhandled by the Chargers 38-21, but that loss won’t be remembered. The Chiefs enter this one with a 10-4 ATS mark in their past 14 against winning teams, 4-1 ATS in the past five playoff games, and 4-1 ATS in the previous five postseason contests at Arrowhead. However, while they opened as a 10-point favorite against the upstart Browns, remember that Kansas City covered just one of the final eight games this season, and they closed the regular season on an 0-4 ATS skid at home.

Browns at Chiefs: Betting odds, spread and line

Odds via BetMGM; last updated Monday at 12:02 p.m. ET. 

  • Money line: Browns +375 (bet $100 to win $375) | Chiefs -500 (bet $500 to win $100) | Bet now
  • Against the spread/ATS: Browns +10, -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Chiefs -10, -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Bet now
  • Total: 55.5, Over -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Under -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Bet now

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At +375 odds, the Browns have an implied 21.05% chance of winning, or 15/4 fractional odds. Cleveland needs to win outright, or lose by fewer than 10 points for a Browns +10 (-110) ATS ticket to cash. A 10-point loss is a push and you get your money back.

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At -500 odds, the Chiefs have an implied 83.33% chance of winning, or 1/5 fractional odds. Kansas City needs to win by at least 11 points for a Chiefs -10 (-110) ticket to cash.

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