The Indiana Hoosiers (3-0 overall, 3-0 Big Ten) visit the Michigan State Spartans (1-2, 1-2) Saturday in a battle for the Old Brass Spittoon. Kickoff is set for noon ET. Below, we analyze the Indiana-Michigan State college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
Indiana is ranked 10th in the Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports. The last time the Hoosiers were a top-10 team was in 1969 (AP poll).
Indiana at Michigan State: Betting odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 5:55 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Indiana -264 (bet $264 to win $100) | Michigan State +210 (bet $100 to win $210)
- Against the spread/ATS: Indiana -7.5 (+100) | Michigan State +7.5 (-121)
- Over/Under: 51.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Indiana at Michigan State: Three things to know
- Indiana upset Michigan 38-21 at home last week as a 4.5-point underdog, snapping a 24-game losing streak in the series. QB Michael Penix Jr. has thrown for 750 yards with 7 touchdowns vs. 1 interception in three games. RB Stevie Scott III leads the ground attack with 235 rushing yards and 4 TDs, while Penix’s top target is WR Whop Philyor (252 receiving yards, 1 TD, 21 catches).
- Michigan State was roughed up in a 49-7 loss at Iowa as a 5.5-point underdog last week, seven days after upsetting Michigan 27-24 in Ann Arbor as a 21.5-point dog. QB Rocky Lombardi, who was intercepted 3 times at Iowa, has thrown for 869 yards with 6 TDs vs. 5 INTs. WR Jalen Nailor leads the receiving corps with 271 yards and 1 TD on 12 catches. The running game, which ranks last in the Big Ten with 78.3 yards per game, has only one RB with 100-plus yards in Jordan Simmons (132 yards, 0 TD).
- Michigan State has won the last three and 10 of 11 vs. IU. The Spartans won 40-31 at home last season, but the Hoosiers covered the 14-point spread. The Spartans are 26-6-1 at home in the series, taking the last eight with the Hoosiers last win coming in 2001.
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Indiana at Michigan State: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Indiana 38, Michigan State 24
Money line (ML)
PASS. The Hoosiers (-264) will improve to 4-0 for the first time since 1987, but this price is more expensive than I like. Let’s make money on the spread.
Against the spread (ATS)
INDIANA -7.5 (+100) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1.5 times your usual wager. The Hoosiers are 3-0 ATS, averaging 37.0 points per game and allowing 25.7 PPG. The Spartans are 1-2 ATS, average 20.3 PPG and yield 37.0 points per game. INDIANA continues to roll.
Over/Under (O/U)
The OVER 51.5 (-110) is the play. Indiana owns a 3-0 O/U record; Michigan State is 2-1.
Look for the Hoosiers to jump out early before letting their foot off the gas in the final quarter as they rest starters in anticipation of facing No. 3 Ohio State next week. Yes, this is what the season has turned into for the once-proud Spartans.
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| Johnny’s 2020 CFB record / Strongest plays | 9-9 / 4-3 |
| 2020 overall record (all sports) | 138-104-3 |
| Strongest plays (all sports) | 68-39-1 |
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