The North Carolina Tar Heels (3-0 overall, 3-0 ACC) and Florida State Seminoles (1-3, 0-3) will meet at Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee, Fla., for a 7:30 pm ET kickoff Saturday (on ABC). Below, we analyze the North Carolina-Florida State college football betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
The Tar Heels are the No. 6 team in the Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
North Carolina at Florida State: Betting odds and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 6:29 a.m. ET.
- Money line: North Carolina -477 (bet $477 to win $100) | Florida State +345 (bet $100 to win $345)
- Against the spread/ATS: North Carolina -13.5 (-118) | Florida State +13.5 (-104)
- Over/Under: 63.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
North Carolina at Florida State: Three things to know
- The Tar Heels won a wild 56-45 shootout against Virginia Tech at home last week, nearly taking care of the Over (59.5) on their own. UNC’s offense is averaging 506.7 total yards (7th in the nation), 245.0 rushing yards (8th) and 37.7 points (19th) per game.
- North Carolina RB Javonte Williams might be one of the most unheralded players in the nation. He ripped off 169 rushing yards in the win over Virginia Tech, and has six rushing touchdowns in three games with seven total scores.
- Florida State is 0-3 SU against FBS teams this season, losing those games by an average of 20.3 PPG. Its rushing defense has a lot of holes, allowing 194.3 yards per game to rank 60th, and it is also 60th in scoring defense with 33.5 PPG allowed.
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North Carolina at Florida State: Odds, betting lines and picks
Prediction
North Carolina 45, Florida State 24
Money line (ML)
North Carolina (-477) will head down to Tally and will win this one rather handily, but risking nearly five times your potential return is not the way to go. AVOID.
Against the spread (ATS)
NORTH CAROLINA -13.5 (-118) is a good play as long as the number remains south of a flat 14. Florida State +13.5 (-104) has covered just once in four outings, while UNC has hit the number in two of its three outings. It’s a bit concerning that the Heels failed to cover in their only road game at Boston College on Oct. 3, but the Eagles actually have a decent defense. The ‘Noles have no D.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 63.5 (-115) is a good bet due to UNC’s powerful offense coupled with the struggles of the Florida State defense. The strength of the Heels offense is their run game, and that’s the Achilles “heel” of FSU’s D. The boys in Carolina blue will not have a problem marching the ball up and down the field for plenty of points.
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