The Virginia Cavaliers (1-2 overall, 1-2 ACC) and Wake Forest Demon Deacons (1-2, 0-2) are scheduled to face each other at Truist Field in Winston-Salem, N.C., for a 4 pm ET kickoff Saturday (on ACC Network). Below, we analyze the Virginia-Wake Forest college football betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Virginia at Wake Forest: Betting odds and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 6:09 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Virginia -134 (bet $134 to win $100) | Wake Forest +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Against the spread/ATS: Virginia -2.5 (-110) | Wake Forest +2.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 60.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Virginia at Wake Forest: Three things to know
- The Cavaliers head into this one looking to right the ship, as their defense has been trampled over the past two games, both losses. They coughed up 41 points at No. 1 Clemson Oct. 3, which isn’t terrible, but allowing 38 to N.C. State last week at home is inexplicable. The Over is 3-0 for the Hoos in three outings so far.
- After dropping its first two games, Wake Forest recovered with 66 points in a rout of FCS Campbell on Oct. 2. The Demon Deacons, who has a bye last week, are 0-2 SU/1-1 ATS in two games against FBS teams.
- Both of these teams have faced and lost to top-ranked Clemson and N.C. State. The Deacs are allowing 41.0 PPG in two games against FBS foes, while UVA has yielded 33.0 PPG in three games to rank 57th in the nation.
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Virginia at Wake Forest: Odds, betting lines and picks
Prediction
Virginia 38, Wake Forest 31
Money line (ML)
VIRGINIA (-134) is a decent value on the road, as I am a huge fan of playing the money line on favorites under a field goal. UVA can move the ball well, posting 285.0 passing yards per game, and it will be especially effective against the week defense of Wake Forest (+110).
Against the spread (ATS)
VIRGINIA -2.5 (-110) has covered two of its three games overall, although it failed to hit the number in a loss at home against N.C. State last time out. That setback could be a good motivator, however, as the Hoos are 4-0 ATS in the past four following a non-cover. While Virginia has failed to cover in the past five against Wake, the road team is 5-2-1 ATS in the previous eight meetings.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 60.5 (-115) is the best play in this game. It’s all Over all the time for UVA, cashing in seven straight ACC games with a 16-5 O/U record in the past 21 overall. While the Under is 5-0 in the past five for Wake as a ‘dog, the Over is 6-0 in its past six against teams with a losing overall record.
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