NFL Prop Bet Payday: The Week 5 Oktoberfest Edition

Assessing the Week 5 NFL matchups and highlighting the best player prop bets to make based on the odds at BetMGM.

NFL prop bets are a great way to get some betting action on your favorite players, teams, or games you’re just watching as a neutral observer. Below, we highlight the best player prop bets for Week 5.

With the bye weeks beginning and the NFL nearing the point that games may end up being played throughout the week—this week alone we have two Monday night games again and the Tuesday night Tennessee Titans-Buffalo Bills tilt—COVID continues to make its mark on the 2020 season.

These are some of the players to place wagers on to make the three nights of football more interesting.

NFL Week 5 prop bet payday

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 1:20 p.m. ET.

I’m Here from the Future 

The Eagles defense has been a mess most of the season and the Steelers are coming off an unexpected bye week and ready to get back at it. Steelers RB James Conner is coming off back-to-back 100-yard rushing games and his Over/Under for rushing yards is just 63.5 (Over: -134 and Under: EVEN). That’s too low.

Grab Conner, head for the choppers and TAKE THE OVER 63.5 RUSHING YARDS (-134).

Can’t Go Half on Metcalf 

One thing you have to credit Seattle wide receiver D.K. Metcalf for is his consistency. In each of his four games this season, he has caught four passes. But, his yardage totals have been 95, 92, 110 and 106. Coming in against a weak Minnesota secondary prone to giving up chunk plays over the top, Metcalf’s Over/Under the number of 67.5 (-145 Over, +105 Under). That is too tempting to pass up – even if you have to pay a little extra to go to the pay window.

TAKE METCALF OVER 67.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-145).

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Say It Ain’t So, Joe 

Bengals rookie Joe Burrow has looked pretty good in the first month of his NFL career, posting three straight 300-yard passing games. But, he hasn’t faced the Ravens defense yet. His Over/Under for passing yards is 270.5 (-115 for the Over and Under). That’s a good number based on his past performance against lesser defenses. He’s going to see things Sunday he’s never seen before and that confusion will hurt his numbers.

TAKE BURROW UNDER 270.5 (-115).

Book of David 

Few running backs in the league are move overrated than David Johnson. He had one monster season with the Cardinals and has been pedestrian ever since. He has an Over/Under of 77.5 rushing yards (+120 Over, -167 Under). He hasn’t hit that number yet this season and has averaged three yards a carry over the last three games. At that rate, he would have to carry the ball 26 times to hit the Over and he won’t do that.

I’m not a fan of putting up too much money for lesser return, but TAKE JOHNSON UNDER 77.5 (-167)  and run with it.

Hail to the Chief 

TE Travis Kelce loves seeing the Raiders on the schedule. In his last four games against the freshly-minted Vegas defense, it has included yardage days of 92, 107 and 168. Andy Reid knows how to get him heavily involved in the action when the Black and Silver is involved. With an Over/Under of 65.5 yards (-115 for both), Kelce should easily be able to eclipse that number.

TAKE KELCE OVER 65.5 RECEIVING YARDS (.

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