The Toronto Blue Jays (29-27) clinch a playoff spot if they beat the New York Yankees (32-24) Thursday in the finale of this four-game set at Sahlen Field in Buffalo, Toronto’s 2020 home. First pitch is set for 6:37 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Yankees-Blue Jays MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Wednesday: The Blue Jays cruised to a 14-1 victory, hitting our STRONG PLAY of the Over and beating our small Yankees run line play. Toronto leads the series 2-1, but New York leads the regular-season series 5-4.
Playoff picture: With four games remaining for each team, the Yankees already claimed a playoff spot and lead the Blue Jays by 3 games for second place in the AL East.
The Jays currently are the AL’s No. 2 wild card, 3½ games ahead of the Los Angles Angels (26-31) and 4 games ahead of the Seattle Mariners (25-31).
Yankees at Blue Jays: Projected starting pitchers
LHP Jordan Montgomery vs. LHP Hyun Jin Ryu
Montgomery is 2-2 with a 5.12 ERA (38 2/3 IP, 22 ER) in 9 starts this season.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 7 K at Boston Red Sox last Friday – Yankees won 6-5 in 12 innings
- 2020 vs. Blue Jays: 1 start (Sept. 7), no-decision, 3 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 1 K – Yankees lost 12-7
- Career vs. Blue Jays: 2-0, 2.78 ERA (22 2/3 IP, 7 ER) in 4 starts and 1 relief appearance
Ryu is 4-2 with a 3.00 ERA (60 IP, 20 ER) in 11 starts.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 8 K at Philadelphia Phillies Saturday – Blue Jays lost 3-1
- 2020 vs. Yankees: 1 start (Sept. 7), no-decision, 5 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K, 3 HR – Blue Jays won 12-7
- Career vs. Yankees: 0-2, 8.80 ERA (15 1/3 IP, 15 ER) in 3 starts
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Yankees at Blue Jays: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Blue Jays
- RP Jordan Romano (finger) doubtful
- 1B Rowdy Tellez (knee) doubtful
Yankees at Blue Jays: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:52 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Blue Jays 9, Yankees 4
Money line (ML)
With a playoff berth at stake and Ryu on the hill, the BLUE JAYS (-100/EVEN) is the STRONGEST PLAY. Ryu has been a welcome addition since joining Toronto in the offseason. He has only allowed 2 or more earned runs in 2 of his last 9 starts, in which he owns a 2.12 ERA.
New to sports betting? Every winning $1 bet on the Blue Jays ML will profit $1. Every $1 bet on the Yankees (+100) profits $1 if they win. (Strongest plays should be 1.5 times your usual bet).
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Only 1 of the 9 head-to-head meetings this season was decided by 1 run. Instead of laying a little bit of juice on the Blue Jays (+1.5, -162) vs. the Yankees as (-1.5, +135), I’ll back TORONTO’S -1.5 (+185) alternate line for a small play – which should be half your usual bet.
Over/Under (O/U)
The OVER 9.5 (-106) is the way to go. The 22 games at Sahlen Field have averaged 11.64 combined runs between Toronto and its opponent. In the six Yankees-Blue Jays there, the two combined to average 12.5 runs per game.
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| Johnny’s 2020 MLB record | 60-32-1 |
| 2020 overall record (all sports) | 100-60-2 |
| Strongest plays (all sports) | 52-23 |
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