The New York Yankees (29-21) and host Boston Red Sox (19-32) open a three-game series Friday at Fenway Park at 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Yankees-Red Sox MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Thursday: The Yankees completed a three-game home sweep of the Toronto Blue Jays with a 10-7 victory, winning their eighth in a row. The Red Sox beat the Miami Marlins 5-3, taking two of three on their South Florida trip.
Season series: Yankees lead 7-0.
Yankees at Red Sox: Projected starting pitchers
LHP Jordan Montgomery vs. LHP Martin Perez
Montgomery is 2-2 with a 4.76 ERA (34 IP, 18 ER) in 8 starts this season.
- Last start: No decision, 5 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, career-high 9 K vs. Baltimore Orioles on Saturday – Yankees won 2-1 in 10 innings
- 2020 vs. Red Sox: 1-0, 1.93 ERA (9 1/3 IP, 2 ER) in 2 starts – Yankees **won both starts
- Career vs. Red Sox: 1-0, 3.42 ERA (23 2/3 IP, 9 ER) in 5 starts
Perez is 3-4 with a 4.33 ERA (52 IP, 25 ER) in 10 starts.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K at Tampa Bay Rays on Sunday – Red Sox won 6-3
- 2020 vs. Yankees: 1 start (Aug. 17), Loss, 3 IP, 3 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 1 K – Red Sox lost 6-3
- Career vs. Yankees: 2-3, 9.85 ERA (24 2/3 IP, 27 ER) in 6 starts
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Yankees at Red Sox: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Red Sox
- OF Andrew Benintendi (ribs) out
- OF Yairo Munoz (back) questionable
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Yankees at Red Sox: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated Friday at 4 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Yankees 10, Red Sox 4
Money line (ML)
The Yankees offense is clicking on all cylinders. New York (-189) outscored Toronto 43-15 in its recent sweep and set an MLB record with 19 HRs in a three-game span.
Now the Yankees visit the Red Sox, whom they are a perfect 7-0 against in 2020. Plus, they are 2-0 in Montgomery’s two starts vs. Boston this season.
However, the -189 price is a bit steep. So, I’m going PASS and take my chances and play the run line.
New to sports betting? Every winning $1.89 bet on the Yankees ML will profit $1. Every $1 bet on the Red Sox (+170) profits $1.70 if they win.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The YANKEES (-1.5, -134) are the STRONGEST PLAY. Keep in mind they have to win by 2 runs or more, but there’s not as much risk at -134.
Not only are they 8-1 vs. the RL in their last nine games, all 7 wins vs. the Red Sox (+1.5, +105) this season were by 2 runs or more. (Strongest plays should be 1½ times your usual wager.)
Over/Under (O/U)
The OVER 10.5 (-110) is the play. This is the first time – and only series – these rivals play at Fenway Park this season as the first seven games were at Yankee Stadium.
Of the 10 head-to-head meetings in Boston last year, seven had at least 11 combined runs – including five games with at least 15 runs.
Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.
| Johnny’s 2020 MLB record | 56-30-1 |
| 2020 overall record (all sports) | 96-58-2 |
| Strongest plays (all sports) | 50-22 |
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