The Los Angeles Dodgers (33-15) play the San Diego Padres (32-17) in the second of a three-game set in Petco Park at 9:10 p.m. ET Tuesday. Below, we analyze the Dodgers-Padres MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Series: San Diego leads 1-0.
Dodgers at Padres: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Tony Gonsolin vs. RHP Zach Davies
Gonsolin: 0-1 with a 1.57 ERA, 0.84 WHIP, 8.8 K/8 and 1.9 BB/9 in 28 ⅔ IP over 6 G (5 GS).
- Last start: No-decision with 6 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 8 K and 0 BB in a 5-2 loss to the Colorado Rockies on Sept. 5.
- His one start vs. the Padres: No-decision with 4 ⅔ IP, 3 H, 0 ER, 8 K and 1 BB in a 6-0 win on Aug. 12.
Davies: 7-2 with a 2.48 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 8.3 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 in 54 ⅓ IP over 9 GS.
- Last start: Win, 5-3, with 6 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 8 K and 2 BB against the Rockies on Sept. 9.
- Career vs. Dodgers: 3-2 with a 2.08 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 35 K and 9 BB in 43 ⅓ IP over 7 GS.
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Dodgers at Padres: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Dodgers
- RP Joe Kelly (suspension) out
- 3B Justin Turner (hamstring) questionable
Padres
- 1B Eric Hosmer (finger) out
- C Francisco Mejia (thumb) out
- OF Tommy Pham (hand) out
- RP Kirby Yates (elbow) out
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Dodgers at Padres: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:15 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Padres 6, Dodgers 2
Money line (ML)
The Padres (+115) pulled within 1.5 games of the Dodgers (-129) after a 7-2 victory last night because Dinelson Lamet outdueled Clayton Kershaw and a five-run seventh inning. Los Angeles leads the season series, 4-3. But, San Diego is on an eight-game winning streak and are one of the hottest teams in MLB.
Their lineup grades out as top-three in several hitting metrics and the Padres are 24-9 versus right-handed pitchers. Plus Davies has only allowed three earned runs in 32 frames in his last five starts against the Dodgers. TAKE PADRES (+115).
New to sports betting? A $100 bet on Padres (+115) returns a $115 profit if San Diego beats Los Angeles.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The regular run line is bogus and the value is in PADRES -1.5 (+225). San Diego’s 16-8 run line record is the MLB’s best and its 1.1 RL margin is tied atop the league.
The Padres have the fourth-highest cover percentage (61%), and the payout is too juicy. Let’s put a smaller wager on this – a $50 bet on Padres -1.5 (+225) pays a $112.50 profit if San Diego beats Los Angeles by two or more runs.
Over/Under (O/U)
The total is 8.5 (-110 either way) and Dodgers-Padres games have gone Over in three straight. But their combined Over/Under records are below .500 and the starting pitchers’ numbers versus their opponents are good. PASS ON THE TOTAL.
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