The Boston Red Sox (14-28) and Philadelphia Phillies (20-17) tangle in Game 1 of a Tuesday doubleheader at Citizens Bank Park with a 4:05 p.m. ET first pitch (on FS1/ESPN+). We analyze the Red Sox-Phillies MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Red Sox at Phillies: Projected starting pitchers
LHP Martin Perez vs. RHP Zach Eflin
Perez has registered a 2-4 record, 4.07 ERA and 1.21 WHIP with 29 strikeouts across 42 innings over eight starts.
- After a slow start, Perez has posted quality starts in two of his past three outings. Still, he hasn’t won in five starts dating back to Aug. 5.
- Perez has made two interleague starts so far, going 1-1 with a 7.45 ERA and two homers allowed with just six strikeouts in 9 2/3 innings.
Eflin enters with a 2-1 record, 4.45 ERA and 1.27 WHIP with 42 strikeouts across 32 1/3 innings in six outings while allowing four homers and just eight walks.
- Eflin has posted just one quality start, allowing one earned run, four hits and no walks with eight strikeouts over seven innings in a win Aug. 29 against the Atlanta Braves.
- The Phillies are 4-0 across Eflin’s past four outings, and 5-1 in his six starts overall this season. One of those team wins came in a 13-6 pounding of the Red Sox at Fenway park Aug. 18, although Eflin did allow four earned runs, five hits and three walks with eight strikeouts over four innings in the no-decision.
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Red Sox at Phillies: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Red Sox
- OF Andrew Benintendi (ribs) out
- 2B Yairo Munoz (hip) questionable
- 2B Dustin Pedroia (knee) out
- C Kevin Plawecki (hand) questionable
Phillies
- OF Jay Bruce (quadriceps) out
- 2B Scott Kingery (back) out
- RP Adam Morgan (shoulder) out
- OF Roman Quinn (concussion) out
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Red Sox at Phillies: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Phillies 6, Red Sox 3
Moneyline (ML)
The PHILLIES (-189) are the play in Game 1 of the double dip. They have won four straight starts with Eflin on the hill, and the Red Sox (+170) are horrific. The streak should continue to roll right along. Philadelphia has also won nine of the past 10 games at Citizens Bank Park, and the Phillies are 4-1 in their past five against left-handed starting pitchers.
New to sports betting? A winning $10 bet on the Phillies would return a profit of $5.30.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The PHILLIES (-1.5, +115) are a nice value here, as seven of their previous nine victories have come by two or more runs to cover the run line.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 7.5 (-110) is the way to go in this one, as we should see more than a run per frame in this seven-inning battle. The Phillies are looking to tie a season-high with three straight over results. Philadelphia will score plenty against a Boston pitching staff with an MLB-worst 6.21 ERA.
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