The Milwaukee Brewers (18-21) and Detroit Tigers (18-21) open a two-game series Tuesday night at 7:10 p.m. ET at Comerica Park. Below, we analyze the Brewers-Tigers MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Brewers at Tigers: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Adrian Houser vs. RHP Spencer Turnbull
Houser has logged a 4.97 ERA and 1.47 WHIP through 7 starts.
- Has deserved a better fate. He has pitched around a .330 batting average on balls in play and has a higher-than-normal rate of fly balls resulting in home runs.
- Is facing the Tigers for a second straight start. Houser yielded five runs in as many innings in a home start against Detroit Sept. 2.
Turnbull is coming off a shaky Sept. 2 start against these same Brewers, but for the season he owns a 3.89 ERA and 1.39 WHIP.
- Is the flip side of the Houser BABIP and HR/fly-ball coin. Various analytic ERA proxies tag Turnbull with a figure in the 5.00-5.25 range.
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Brewers at Tigers: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Brewers
- OF Avisail Garcia (hamstring) questionable
- OF Lorenzo Cain (personal) out
Tigers
- 3B Harold Castro (hamstring) out
- OF JaCoby Jones (hand) out
- 3B Niko Goodrum (oblique) out
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Brewers at Tigers: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML)
MILWAUKEE (-129) is slightly undervalued in the overall team category. And give the Brewers a solid edge in the starting pitching for this matchup.
That flies against surface numbers, enough to the point that the BREWERS (-129) side has some value.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Detroit has the better offense on paper, but the Tigers have their numbers buoyed by a .318 BABIP and corresponding (and overcoooked) BABIP in key situations like inning lead-off, runner in scoring position, etc.). Motor City weather is slated to be humid with a double-digit breeze out to right-center. Figure on that wind-and-weather note being diminished in the early Tiger frames, as Houser is a definitive groundball pitcher.
Milwaukee has the much better bullpen and with a total we can peg at 9-plus runs, a BREWERS -1.5 (+120) play is looking good.
Over/Under (O/U)
The Brewers offense has been shaky this season (4.0 runs per game, 26th MLB), but the last week or so has been a bit of a turnaround (4.8 RPG on a .788 OPS since Aug. 28). On what is forecast as a humid night with a batters’ wind, take the OVER 8.5 (-110).
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