The Milwaukee Brewers (18-19) play the Cleveland Indians (23-15) in the second game of a three-game series Saturday at Progressive Field. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Brewers-Indians MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Series: Milwaukee leads 1-0.
Brewers at Indians: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Brandon Woodruff vs. RHP Aaron Civale
Woodruff: 2-3 with a 3.67 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 10.4 K/9 and 2.6 BB/9 in 41 2/3 IP over 8 starts.
- Last start: Loss with 5 IP, 4 H, 4 ER, 7 K and 3 BB against the Pittsburgh Pirates Aug. 30.
Civale: 3-4 with a 3.72 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 and 1.2 BB/9 in 46 IP over 7 starts.
- Last start: Loss with 6 IP, 8 H, 5 ER, 3 K and 2 BB at the St. Louis Cardinals Aug. 30.
- The 25-year-old has started only 17 games in his 2-year career and has a lifetime 6-8 record with a 2.95 ERA and 1.07 WHIP.
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Brewers at Indians: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Brewers
- OF Ryan Braun (back) questionable
- OF Avisail Garcia (hamstring) out
- OF Lorenzo Cain (personal) out
- 3B Jedd Gyorko (bereavement) out
Indians
- CF Delino DeShields (shoulder) questionable
- C Roberto Perez (shoulder) out
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Brewers at Indians: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Indians 5, Brewers 2
Moneyline (ML)
We are getting a nice price for the Indians (-118) because they lost 7-1 to the Brewers (+105) Friday. Milwaukee’s lineup is bottom-5 in several categories and Cleveland’s pitching staff is one of baseball’s best.
Left-handed batters have a 45-point higher batting average and a 51-point higher on-base percentage against Woodruff and Cleveland’s first four batters are switch-hitters. The Indians have better numbers against righties and the Brewers hit worse against right-handed pitchers.
I “LIKE” INDIANS (-118). New to sports betting? A $118 bet on the Indians (-118) earns a $100 profit if Cleveland can beat Milwaukee.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The run line splits are inspiring enough to look at the alternate line of INDIANS -1.5 (+170). Cleveland has the fifth-best run line record (23-15 RL) and Milwaukee is tied with the Texas Rangers with the worst RL record (13-24 RL). The hope is that the top of Cleveland’s order gets to Woodruff early before he settles in and the Indians coast to a victory.
Let’s make a lighter wager, mostly to maximize the profit of betting Cleveland in this spot. A $50 bet on Indians -1.5 (+170) earns an $85 profit if Cleveland wins by two or more runs.
Over/Under (O/U)
While Milwaukee’s lineup has struggled this season, Cleveland is right down there in the bottom-5 of several hitting categories. The Under is 3-0-2 in the last five meetings and Cleveland has the 2nd-highest Under percentage in MLB (31%).
Since we are on the Indians pretty heavily, we are hoping for them to rake against Milwaukee’s pitching staff and I’ll PASS ON THE TOTAL OF 7.5 RUNS.
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