The Philadelphia Phillies (18-15) and New York Mets (17-21) will open a four-game series Friday, with first pitch from Citi Field coming at 7:10 p.m. ET. We analyze the Phillies-Mets betting odds and lines, with MLB picks and best bets.
Phillies at Mets: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Jake Arrieta vs. RHP Rick Porcello
Arrieta has started the year 2-4 with a 6.49 ERA and only 18 strikeouts through 26 1/3 innings.
- Arrieta had the shortest start of his career last time out, going only 1 1/3 innings against the Atlanta Braves with seven runs allowed.
- Prior to that start, Arrieta was 2-3 with a more respectable 4.32 ERA.
Porcello has struggled in his first season with the Mets, going 1-4 with a 6.00 ERA in seven starts.
- The Mets are just 1-6 in games started by Porcello this season, scoring more than two runs only twice.
- Porcello is allowing a career-high 12 hits per nine innings, with opponents hitting .321 against him this year.
Get some action on this game or any other matchup in the 2020 season with an MLB bet at BetMGM in NJ, IN, CO and WV. Bet now!
Phillies at Mets: Key injuries
Get the latest injury news here.
Phillies
- RP Adam Morgan (shoulder) out
- 2B Scott Kingery (back) out
Mets
- 2B Eduardo Nunez (knee) out
- RP Dellin Betances (back) out
Phillies at Mets: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Phillies 7, Mets 4
Moneyline (ML)
Despite winning four in a row and nine of their last 10, the Phillies (+115) aren’t favored over the Mets in this game. The Mets moneyline is -129, making them slight favorites at home.
It’s a matchup of two former Cy Young Award winners, but Arrieta has been the more consistent of the two despite a shaky outing last time on the mound. I expect him to bounce back and keep the surging Mets in check. Take the PHILLIES (+115) tonight.
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Phillies to win returns a profit of $11.50.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Phillies are getting 1.5 runs at -176 on BetMGM’s recommended run line. Six of the Phillies’ last nine wins have come by at least two runs, which is an encouraging trend.
The moneyline is a much more worthwhile bet to make, but if you’re OK with a limited reward on the run line, take the PHILLIES +1.5 (-176) in this one as a safer play.
Over/Under (O/U)
The over/under is 10 runs, the highest total of any game Friday with a bunch of doubleheaders around the league. In the last six meetings between these teams at Citi Field, the total has gone Over five times. The total has also hit in five of the Mets’ last six games overall.
Take the OVER 10 (-110) based on the struggles both Arrieta and Porcello have experienced this season.
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