Given the incredibly turbulent nature of the 2020 college football season, team evaluations rightfully remain in constant flux.
With that in mind, ESPN’s Bill Connelly released an updated version of his preseason SP+ ratings on Tuesday, factoring in new injuries and opt-outs since his last release.
The most notable result: Oklahoma’s chance of going undefeated experienced a slight increase, now sitting at 14.26%.
As far as net rating, OU ended up on the positive side, increasing their SP+ rating by a tenth of a point. It’s a minor change, but certainly the preferred outcome compared to a decrease.
Across the Big 12, TCU, Baylor, Iowa State and Kansas also increased their rating, while Texas, Texas Tech, West Virginia, Oklahoma State and Kansas State all decreased theirs.
Fresh SP+ ratings also mean updated game-by-game win probabilities for this season. Far and away the biggest change comes in the Red River Showdown. OU’s chances to beat Texas this season increased by 1.34%.
Outside of that matchup, probabilities saw minor changes across the board.
In terms of offense and defense, OU’s offensive rating decreased by three tenths of a point, while their defensive rating increased by four tenths of a point (hence the one tenth of a point net increase).
OU is set to host Missouri State to open the 2020 season on Sept. 12 at 6 p.m. CT.
[vertical-gallery id=16867]