The New York Mets (15-16) and New York Yankees (16-13) play the third game of a five-game set Saturday. First pitch at Yankee Stadium is set for 1:05 p.m. ET. We analyze the Mets-Yankees betting odds and lines, with MLB picks and best bets.
Mets at Yankees: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Robert Gsellman vs. LHP J.A. Happ
Gsellman: 0-0, 7.71 ERA, 2.143 WHIP, 4 K, 2 BB, 4 2/3 IP, 2 starts, one relief appearance
- Has allowed eight hits but just one home run.
- Last pitched 1 2/3 innings as an opener in an 11-4 Mets win over the Miami Marlins Aug. 17.
Happ: 1-1, 6.39 ERA, 1.579 WHIP, 6 K, 10 BB, 12 2/3 IP, 3 starts
- The walks are an obvious red flag and equate to a 7.1 BB/9
- He has also allowed 4 home runs
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Mets at Yankees: Key injuries
Get the latest injury news here.
Mets
- 2B Jed Lowrie (knee) out
- 2B Eduardo Nunez (knee) out
Yankees
- RP Zack Britton (hamstring) out
- OF Aaron Judge (calf) out
- 2B DJ LeMahieu (thumb) out
- OF Giancarlo Stanton (hamstring) out
- 2B Gleyber Torres (hamstring) out
- 3B Gio Urshela (elbow) questionable
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Mets at Yankees: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:25 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Mets 7, Yankees 5
Moneyline (ML)
Side with the healthier METS (+105) offense in a high-scoring game. The Yankees have dropped seven straight after a blistering start to the season, including the first two of the series. The Mets are still priced as slight underdogs after outscoring the Yanks 10-7 through two games.
The Mets bullpen ranks just 15th in baseball with an aggregate 4.40 ERA and will be used in full force behind the opening Gsellman. The Yankees (-118) bullpen hasn’t been all that much better with a 4.30 group ERA and Happ has been in bad form to start the season.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The METS -1.5 (+150) are favored on the run line as the book tries to hedge against having the higher-profile Yankees (+1.5, -183) as favorites on the moneyline.
The Yankees are 18-11 on the run line this season, but they’re in a downward spiral and struggling to score runs without Stanton, Judge and others. Happ isn’t the pitcher to get them back on track.
Over/Under (O/U)
Take the OVER 10 (-110) in a lackluster pitching matchup. The bullpens offer little reprieve if they’re forced into action early.
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