New York Mets at New York Yankees odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s New York Mets at New York Yankees sports betting odds and lines, with MLB betting picks, tips and best bets.

The New York Mets (15-16) and New York Yankees (16-13) play the third game of a five-game set Saturday. First pitch at Yankee Stadium is set for 1:05 p.m. ET. We analyze the Mets-Yankees betting odds and lines, with MLB picks and best bets.

Mets at Yankees: Projected starting pitchers

RHP Robert Gsellman vs. LHP J.A. Happ

Gsellman: 0-0, 7.71 ERA, 2.143 WHIP, 4 K, 2 BB, 4 2/3 IP, 2 starts, one relief appearance

  • Has allowed eight hits but just one home run.
  • Last pitched 1 2/3 innings as an opener in an 11-4 Mets win over the Miami Marlins Aug. 17.

Happ: 1-1, 6.39 ERA, 1.579 WHIP, 6 K, 10 BB, 12 2/3 IP, 3 starts

  • The walks are an obvious red flag and equate to a 7.1 BB/9
  • He has also allowed 4 home runs

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Mets at Yankees: Key injuries

Get the latest injury news here.

Mets

  • 2B Jed Lowrie (knee) out
  • 2B Eduardo Nunez (knee) out

Yankees

  • RP Zack Britton (hamstring) out
  • OF Aaron Judge (calf) out
  • 2B DJ LeMahieu (thumb) out
  • OF Giancarlo Stanton (hamstring) out
  • 2B Gleyber Torres (hamstring) out
  • 3B Gio Urshela (elbow) questionable

Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

Mets at Yankees: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:25 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Mets 7, Yankees 5

Moneyline (ML)

Side with the healthier METS (+105) offense in a high-scoring game. The Yankees have dropped seven straight after a blistering start to the season, including the first two of the series. The Mets are still priced as slight underdogs after outscoring the Yanks 10-7 through two games.

The Mets bullpen ranks just 15th in baseball with an aggregate 4.40 ERA and will be used in full force behind the opening Gsellman. The Yankees (-118) bullpen hasn’t been all that much better with a 4.30 group ERA and Happ has been in bad form to start the season.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The METS -1.5 (+150) are favored on the run line as the book tries to hedge against having the higher-profile Yankees (+1.5, -183) as favorites on the moneyline.

The Yankees are 18-11 on the run line this season, but they’re in a downward spiral and struggling to score runs without Stanton, Judge and others. Happ isn’t the pitcher to get them back on track.

Over/Under (O/U)

Take the OVER 10 (-110) in a lackluster pitching matchup. The bullpens offer little reprieve if they’re forced into action early.

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