The Toronto Blue Jays (14-13) host the Boston Red Sox (9-20) for a three-game set at their Triple-A facility at Buffalo’s Sahlen Field, beginning Tuesday at 6:37 p.m. ET. We analyze the Red Sox-Blue Jays betting odds and lines, with MLB picks and best bets.
Red Sox at Blue Jays: Projected starting pitchers
LHP Kyle Hart vs. RHP Chase Anderson
Hart: 0-1, 11.12 ERA, 9 K, 7 BB, 7 ER, 5 2/3 IP, 2 starts
- The 27-year-old, former 19th-round draft choice made his MLB debut this season after pitching in Double-A and Triple-A last season.
- He allowed two earned runs over 3 2/3 innings in his last start for a marked improvement over his first outing when he allowed five earned runs over just two innings.
Anderson: 0-0, 2.79 ERA, 7 K, 3 BB, 3 ER, 9 2/3 IP, 3 starts
- Hasn’t gone past 3 2/3 innings in any of his three starts, but allowed just one earned run each time.
- Has allowed 20 fly balls to just 10 ground balls.
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Red Sox at Blue Jays: Key injuries
Get the latest injury news here.
Red Sox
- OF Andrew Benintendi (ribs) out
Blue Jays
- SS Bo Bichette (knee) out
- OF Derek Fisher (quadriceps) out
- RP Ken Giles (forearm) out
- OF Randal Grichuk (back) questionable
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Red Sox at Blue Jays: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:08 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Blue Jays 9, Red Sox 5
Moneyline (ML)
The BLUE JAYS (-118) are a fine play as slight favorites in their home site for the 2020 season. The Red Sox (+105) come in off of back-to-back losses to the Baltimore Orioles to split a four-game set. The Jays are 7-2 in their last nine games, coming off a 2-2 split with the Tampa Bay Rays, and recently swept those same Orioles in three games while outscoring them 20-11.
Boston won two of three against Toronto at Fenway Park earlier this month. All three games played to the Under and the Red Sox went 2-1 against the spread. Expect different results in Buffalo for this three-game set.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
As noted above, Anderson’s surface numbers are much better than he deserves early in his season, but Hart has been every bit as bad as his numbers show. He’s inducing a soft-contact rate of just 10.5% with a 47.4% fly-ball rate, though he is being hurt by an inflated .412 BABIP.
The BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+155) must be backed on the alternate run line for the win by at least 2 runs. They’re better equipped for a short outing from their starter with the fourth-ranked bullpen by ERA (3.15). Red Sox relievers combine for 5.75 ERA to rank 29th in baseball.
Over/Under (O/U)
Take the OVER 11.5 (+110) on another alternate line for the half-run hook and a higher profit margin. These teams hit the Under three games in a row at Fenway Park just a couple weeks ago, but the Jays enter this series 5-3-2 against the OU across their last 10 games.
The Jays have also gone 4-3 against the OU in their seven games at Sahlen Field this season.
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