The New York Mets (11-14) and Miami Marlins (9-8) continue a four-game series Wednesday at Marlins Park with a 7:10 p.m. ET first pitch. We analyze the Mets-Marlins MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Mets at Marlins: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Jacob deGrom vs. RHP Pablo Lopez
DeGrom has compiled a 2-0 record, 2.45 ERA and 0.95 WHIP with 28 strikeouts across 22 innings over four starts with just five walks and two homers allowed.
- DeGrom earned a win in his most recent start at Citi Field against Miami, allowing two earned runs, seven hits and two walks with six strikeouts. He was scratched from his last start due to neck tightness.
- DeGrom posted a 5-1 record, 2.37 ERA and .213 opponent batting average over six starts vs. Miami in 2019, and the Mets are 6-1 in his previous seven starts against the Marlins.
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Lopez enters play with a 2-1 record, 2.25 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 19 strikeouts across 16 innings over three outings with one quality start.
- Lopez’s only loss came Aug. 9 at Citi Field against the Mets, coughing up three runs – two earned – and five hits with four walks and four strikeouts over five innings.
- Lopez was knocked around to the tune of a .287 opponent batting average in 77 innings in night games in 2019, and .197 OBA in 34 1/3 innings during the day.
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Mets at Marlins: Key injuries
(List of injuries around the league)
Mets
- OF Yoenis Cespedes (personal) opted out of the season
- SP Jacob deGrom (neck) probable
- OF Jake Marisnick (hamstring) out
- 2B Eduardo Nunez (knee) out
Marlins
- 1B Garrett Cooper (COVID-19) out
- 3B Sean Rodriguez (COVID-19) out
- RP Pat Venditte (oblique) questionable
Mets at Marlins: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated Wednesday at 8:30 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Mets 6, Marlins 3
Moneyline (ML)
The Mets (-223) will cost you more than two times your potential return, and that’s just too expensive on the road against a halfway decent pitcher like Lopez. If anything, the Marlins (+200) are the tempting home ‘dog at two times your potential return. However, Miami is just 1-6 in the past seven cracks against deGrom. AVOID.
New to sports betting? A winning $10 bet on New York returns a profit of just $4.48, while Miami would fetch a profit of $20 if they’re victorious.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The better play in this one is taking the METS (-1.5, -134) to win by at least two runs. In this series it has been so far and so good, outscoring the Marlins (+1.5, +110) by a 19-7 score in the first two games. Behind deGrom they’re a solid value at this price.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 7.5 (-110) has cashed in four straight for the Mets as a favorite, while going 5-2 in their past seven games overall. The over has hit in four in a row for the Marlins vs. RHP, while hitting in five of their past seven overall as well.
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