The New York Mets (9-13) and Philadelphia Phillies (7-9) meet at 1:05 p.m. ET Sunday to close out their three-game series at Citizens Bank Park. Below, we analyze the Mets-Phillies MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Mets at Phillies: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Rick Porcello vs. RHP Zack Wheeler
Porcello has logged a 5.68 ERA and 1.63 WHIP through four starts. The veteran right-hander posted a 5.52 ERA for the Boston Red Sox a year ago.
- Porcello has been undone by a .387 batting average on balls in play. He’s had to face two quality teams in the Atlanta Braves and Washington Nationals and has had to see each twice, giving the Braves and Nats a better look the second time around. He is coming off solid starts in each of his last two efforts.
- Current Phillies batters own a .665 OPS against Porcello.
Wheeler was a New York National Leaguer from 2013-19. He has posted a 2.89 ERA through three starts for the Phillies. He owns a career ERA of 3.75.
- The bullpen behind Wheeler is a shaky one. The Philadelphia relief corps has been torched by the long ball (2.5 HR/9) en route to posting an early-season 9.12 ERA (30th MLB).
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Mets at Phillies: Key injuries
Get the latest injury news here.
Mets
- 3B Jeff McNeil (knee) questionable
- 2B Jed Lowrie (knee) out
Phillies
- OF Adam Haseley (wrist) out
- RP Seranthony Dominguez (elbow) out
- RP David Robertson (elbow) out
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Mets at Phillies: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML)
The Phillies (-128) won Games 1 and 2 of the series by scores of 6-5 and 6-2, respectively. They are tabbed as the favorite here, but there is some profit wiggle room on the underdog METS (+115). A compartmentalized strength-of-schedule points to New York having faced one of the tougher collection of pitchers so far. There is room for growth on an already top-10 OPS of .766.
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Mets to win returns a profit of $11.50.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Sunday’s tilt is aimed at an Over. PASS ON THE METS +1.5 (-167).
Over/Under (O/U)
Both offenses are solid, and their surface numbers are even a bit under-cooked. Weather calls for a humid, breeze-in day, and there’s rain in the forecast. Perhaps wait out a swing to a nine-run total or a better price, but BACKING THE OVER 9.5 (-110) IS THE PLAY.
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