The Atlanta Braves (11-8) and New York Yankees (11-6) cap off a two-game set Wednesday at Yankee Stadium with first pitch set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Braves-Yankees MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Braves at Yankees: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Huascar Ynoa vs. RHP Masahiro Tanaka
Ynoa made his first career start Aug. 9 against the Philadelphia Phillies. The 22-year-old Dominican fire-baller went 2 1/3 IP, allowing a run on a hit and a walk. He made two relief appearances in 2019, Wednesday’s game will mark the fourth of his career.
- Ynoa has swing-and-miss stuff (more than a strikeout per inning at Double-A and Triple-A a year ago), but his work in this one figures to be of one-time-through-the order variety.
Tanaka is coming off a fine start at the Tampa Bay Rays (5 IP, 0 runs, 5 strikeouts), and his velocity has been impressive thus far. Injured (concussion) at the outset of the season, the Yankee right-hander has clocked a 1.17 ERA through two starts.
- Tanaka has a 3.13 ERA over his last nine starts at Yankee Stadium.
- Because of his head injury — one sustained in Summer Camp — Tanaka has been on a short leash. He threw 51 pitches in his regular-season debut and 59 in his second start.
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Braves at Yankees: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Braves
- 1B Matt Adams (hamstring) out
- 2B Ozzie Albies (wrist) out
- RP Chris Martin (throat) out
- RP Jeremy Walker (shoulder) out
- RP Jacob Webb (shoulder) out
Yankees
- RP Aroldis Chapman (COVID-19 recovery) out
- RP Tommy Kahnle (Tommy John surgery) out
- OF Giancarlo Stanton (hamstring) out
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Braves at Yankees: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML)
The prices on both sides of the moneyline (Yankees -189/Braves +170) are in the no-fly zone. PASS.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The lean here is only a small-confidence one, and it’s on the BRAVES +1.5 (-110).
Over/Under (O/U)
Run-scoring analytics point to a) Both of these teams being significantly out too far over their skis, and b) Both pitching staffs being a bit undersold by their current surface numbers. Both clubs have lofty BABIPs in high-leverage situations; the Braves have a .346 BABIP when batting with runners in scoring position.
Add in a few injuries to key bats and some recent (albeit short-term) slumps, and there is some value to be had on going low. The risk/reward of pegging Tanaka and relievers to go low leans to the reward side. BACK THE UNDER 9.5 (-110).
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