The Washington Nationals (4-7) and New York Mets (7-9) start a four-game set on Monday at Citi Field in Queens with a 7:10 p.m. ET first pitch. We analyze the Nationals-Mets’ betting odds and lines, with MLB picks and best bets.
Nationals at Mets: Projected starting pitchers
LHP Patrick Corbin vs. LHP Steven Matz
Corbin has posted a 1-0 record with a 3.00 ERA and 0.92 WHIP with 16 strikeouts in 12 innings across two starts, and he has allowed just one walk.
- The southpaw won his most recent start against the Mets at Nationals Park on Tuesday, yielding three earned runs, eight hits and a walk with eight strikeouts over 5 2/3 innings.
- Corbin threw 66 of his 102 pitches for strikes while posting first-pitch strikes to 15 of the 26 batters he faced. His biggest mistake was a two-run shot to OF Michael Conforto in the fourth inning.
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Matz has posted an 0-2 record with a 5.65 ERA record across three outings, allowing five home runs over 14 1/3 innings.
- Matz was on the losing end against Corbin and the Nets on Tuesday, his shortest outing of the season. He allowed five earned runs, seven hits and two homers in just three innings in the loss.
- The Mets are 0-3 in Matz’s three starts so far and he has managed just one quality start to date.
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Nationals at Mets: Key injuries
(List of injuries around the league)
Nationals
- RP Roenis Elias (elbow) out
- RP Will Harris (groin) out
- RP Joe Ross (personal) out
Mets
- 2B Robinson Cano (groin) questionable
- OF Jake Marisnick (hamstring) out
- 2B Eduardo Nunez (knee) out
Nationals at Mets: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated Monday at 8:15 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Nationals 6, Mets 3
Moneyline (ML)
The defending champ NATIONALS (-129) limp into this one with a sub-.500 record, but getting back to division play should do them some good. Washington is 6-1 in their past seven against National League East opponents, and they’re also 4-1 in the past five as a road favorite and 8-2 in their past 10 on the road against left-handed starting pitchers. The Mets (+115) have won just three times in the past 10, and they’re also 3-7 in the past 10 inside the division.
New to sports betting? A winning $10 bet on Washington returns a profit of $7.75, while the Mets fetch a profit of $11.50 if they’re victorious.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The NATIONALS (-1.5, +120) are a great value at this price level, even though in recent seasons they have struggled a bit with the Mets (+1.5, -143). Even so, their last success came Tuesday in a 5-3 win over Matz and the Mets, and each of their four wins this season have been by two or more runs. As such, Washington is worth a small-unit play at -1.5.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 8.5 (-110) is the lean, although go very, very lightly. The over has connected in five of the past six away from home for the Nats, while the over is 7-3-1 in the previous 11 meetings in this series. The over is also 5-1 in the past six battles at Citi Field between these division rivals.
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